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Partially-Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are a well-known stochastic model for sequential decision making under limited information. We consider the EXPTIME-hard problem of synthesising policies that almost-surely reach some…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-03-22 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Sanjit A. Seshia

We study model-based learning of finite-window policies in tabular partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs). A common approach to learning under partial observability is to approximate unbounded history dependencies using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Philip Jordan , Maryam Kamgarpour

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

In real-world scenarios, the observation data for reinforcement learning with continuous control is commonly noisy and part of it may be dynamically missing over time, which violates the assumption of many current methods developed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-18 Yuhui Wang , Hao He , Xiaoyang Tan

In this paper, we focus on a data-driven risk-averse multistage stochastic programming (RMSP) model considering distributional robustness. We optimize the RMSP over the worst-case distribution within an ambiguity set of probability…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-08-29 Jianqiu Huang , Kezhuo Zhou , Yongpei Guan

Decentralized planning in uncertain environments is a complex task generally dealt with by using a decision-theoretic approach, mainly through the framework of Decentralized Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (DEC-POMDPs).…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-17 Raghav Aras , Alain Dutech

We study the problem of synthesizing a controller that maximizes the entropy of a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) subject to a constraint on the expected total reward. Such a controller minimizes the predictability of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-16 Michael Hibbard , Yagiz Savas , Bo Wu , Takashi Tanaka , Ufuk Topcu

Constrained decision-making is essential for designing safe policies in real-world control systems, yet simulated environments often fail to capture real-world adversities. We consider the problem of learning a policy that will maximize the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Sourav Ganguly , Kishan Panaganti , Arnob Ghosh , Adam Wierman

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

We study risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL), a crucial field due to its ability to enhance decision-making in scenarios where it is essential to manage uncertainty and minimize potential adverse outcomes. Particularly, our work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Dake Zhang , Boxiang Lyu , Shuang Qiu , Mladen Kolar , Tong Zhang

This paper studies constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) with constraints against stochastic thresholds, aiming at safety of reinforcement learning in unknown and uncertain environments. We leverage a Growing-Window estimator…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Qian Zuo , Fengxiang He

In most real-world reinforcement learning applications, state information is only partially observable, which breaks the Markov decision process assumption and leads to inferior performance for algorithms that conflate observations with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Hongming Zhang , Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

Although risk awareness is fundamental to an online operating agent, it has received less attention in the challenging continuous domain and under partial observability. This paper presents a novel formulation and solution for risk-averse…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Andrey Zhitnikov , Vadim Indelman

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

A robust Learning Model Predictive Controller (LMPC) for uncertain systems performing iterative tasks is presented. At each iteration of the control task the closed-loop state, input and cost are stored and used in the controller design.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-06 Ugo Rosolia , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

We study data-driven computation of probabilistic controlled invariant sets (PCIS) for safety-critical reinforcement learning under unknown dynamics. Assuming a linear MDP model, we use regularized least squares and self-normalized…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-06 Kazumune Hashimoto , Shunki Kimura , Kazunobu Serizawa , Junya Ikemoto , Yulong Gao , Kai Cai

Robotic systems must be able to quickly and robustly make decisions when operating in uncertain and dynamic environments. While Reinforcement Learning (RL) can be used to compute optimal policies with little prior knowledge about the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-13 Yunpeng Pan , Xinyan Yan , Evangelos Theodorou , Byron Boots

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-07-16 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Lorenzo Fagiano

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) are a powerful framework for planning under uncertainty. They allow to model state uncertainty as a belief probability distribution. Approximate solvers based on Monte Carlo sampling…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-01 Daniele Meli , Alberto Castellini , Alessandro Farinelli

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP) are a useful model for decision-making under partial observability and stochastic actions. Partially Observable Monte-Carlo Planning is an online algorithm for deciding on the next…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Oded Blumenthal , Guy Shani