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We introduce a novel and flexible framework for constructing locally adaptive Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) samplers by Gibbs sampling the algorithm's tuning parameters conditionally based on the position and momentum at each step. For…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Bob Carpenter , Milo Marsden

Hamiltonian Monte-Carlo (HMC) and its auto-tuned variant, the No U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) can struggle to accurately sample distributions with complex geometries, e.g., varying curvature, due to their constant step size for leapfrog…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-10-30 Chirag Modi

Locally adapting parameters within Markov chain Monte Carlo methods while preserving reversibility is notoriously difficult. The success of the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) largely stems from its clever local adaptation of the integration time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Bob Carpenter , Tore Selland Kleppe , Sifan Liu

This paper is devoted to investigate whether the popular No U-turn (NUTS) sampling algorithm is correct, i.e.\ whether the target probability distribution is \emph{exactly} conserved by the algorithm. It turns out that one of the Gibbs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-08 J. M. Sanz-Serna

Dynamic structural equation modeling (DSEM) is widely used for analyzing intensive longitudinal data (ILD). Although many ILD have categorical (Bernoulli or binomially distributed) responses, currently available Metropolis-within-Gibbs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Øystein Sørensen , Ethan M. McCormick

The No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is the computational workhorse of modern Bayesian software libraries, yet its qualitative and quantitative convergence guarantees were established only recently. A significant gap remains in the theoretical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Fares Guehtar , Hadrien Duval-decaix , Pacôme Trautmann

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo provides efficient Markov transitions at the expense of introducing two free parameters: a step size and total integration time. Because the step size controls discretization error it can be readily tuned to achieve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-04-09 M. J. Betancourt

In this work, we introduce the No-Underrun Sampler (NURS), a locally-adaptive, gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo method that blends ideas from Hit-and-Run and the No-U-Turn Sampler. NURS dynamically adapts to the local scale of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-27 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Bob Carpenter , Sifan Liu , Stefan Oberdörster

Gibbs sampling repeatedly samples from the conditional distribution of one variable, x_i, given other variables, either choosing i randomly, or updating sequentially using some systematic or random order. When x_i is discrete, a Gibbs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Radford M. Neal

This paper proposes a novel approach to adaptive step sizes in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) by utilizing quantities that we have identified as numerically traceable -- the Lipschitz constant for gradients and a concept of the local…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-19 Frederik Köhne , Leonie Kreis , Anton Schiela , Roland Herzog

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

We propose a stochastic optimization method for minimizing loss functions, expressed as an expected value, that adaptively controls the batch size used in the computation of gradient approximations and the step size used to move along such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-04 Achraf Bahamou , Donald Goldfarb

Quasi-Newton methods are widely used for solving convex optimization problems due to their ease of implementation, practical efficiency, and strong local convergence guarantees. However, their global convergence is typically established…

Component-wise gradient boosting algorithms are popular for their intrinsic variable selection and implicit regularization, which can be especially beneficial for very flexible model classes. When estimating generalized additive models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Alexandra Daub , Andreas Mayr , Boyao Zhang , Elisabeth Bergherr

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that avoids the random walk behavior and sensitivity to correlated parameters that plague many MCMC methods by taking a series of steps informed by first-order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gelman

For simulating large networks of neurons Hines proposed a method which uses extensively the structure of the arising systems of ordinary differential equations in order to obtain an efficient implementation. The original method requires…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-03-27 Michael Hanke

Piecewise-Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) hold significant promise for sampling from complex probability distributions. However, their practical implementation is hindered by the need to compute model-specific bounds. Conversely,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Matthew Sutton

Tuning of model-based boosting algorithms relies mainly on the number of iterations, while the step-length is fixed at a predefined value. For complex models with several predictors such as Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-19 Boyao Zhang , Tobias Hepp , Sonja Greven , Elisabeth Bergherr

Stochastic gradient updates are widely used for their efficiency and scalability, but their effective step sizes can depend strongly on feature scaling and local model sensitivity. Gauss-Newton methods address such scale effects through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Mikalai Korbit , Mario Zanon

Analysts routinely use Bayesian hierarchical models to understand natural processes. The no-U-turn sampler (NUTS) is the most widely used algorithm to sample high-dimensional, continuously differentiable models. But NUTS is slowed by high…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Cole C. Monnahan , Kasper Kristensen , James T. Thorson , Bob Carpenter
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