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相关论文: Peaking into the Black-box: Prediction Intervals G…

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Any supervised machine learning analysis is required to provide an estimate of the out-of-sample predictive performance. However, it is imperative to also provide a quantification of the uncertainty of this performance in the form of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-13 Konstantinos Paraschakis , Andrea Castellani , Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

We propose Partially Interpretable Estimators (PIE) which attribute a prediction to individual features via an interpretable model, while a (possibly) small part of the PIE prediction is attributed to the interaction of features via a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-07 Tong Wang , Jingyi Yang , Yunyi Li , Boxiang Wang

Simulations based on Reynolds-Averaged Navier--Stokes (RANS) models have been used to support high-consequence decisions related to turbulent flows. Apart from the deterministic model predictions, the decision makers are often equally…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2017-01-25 Jian-Xun Wang , Jin-Long Wu , Heng Xiao

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

The growing computational demands of artificial intelligence (AI) in addressing climate change raise significant concerns about inefficiencies and environmental impact, as highlighted by the Jevons paradox. We propose an attention-enhanced…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-09-04 Siddhant Dutta , Nouhaila Innan , Sadok Ben Yahia , Muhammad Shafique

This research investigates the performance and efficacy of machine learning models in stock prediction, comparing Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Quantum Qubit-based Neural Networks (QQBNs), and Quantum Qutrit-based Neural Networks…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Kanishk Bakshi , Kathiravan Srinivasan

Soft robots can revolutionize several applications with high demands on dexterity and safety. When operating these systems, real-time estimation and control require fast and accurate models. However, prediction with first-principles (FP)…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Tim-Lukas Habich , Aran Mohammad , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Martin Bensch , Thomas Seel , Moritz Schappler

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) hold the potential for supplementing the existing set of techniques for solving differential equations that emerge in the study of black hole quasinormal modes. The present research investigated them…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2021-08-13 Anele M Ncube , Gerhard E Harmsen , Alan S Cornell

The measurement of black hole spin is considered one of the key problems in relativistic astrophysics. Existing methods, such as continuum fitting, X-ray reflection spectroscopy and quasi-periodic oscillation analysis, have systematic…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2025-08-13 Stella Menziltsidou

Accurate channel modeling is the foundation of communication system design. However, the traditional measurement-based modeling approach has increasing challenges for the scenarios with insufficient measurement data. To obtain enough data…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Zirui Wen , Ruisi He , Bo Ai , Chen Huang , Mi Yang , Zhangdui Zhong

A key open challenge in agile quadrotor flight is how to combine the flexibility and task-level generality of model-free reinforcement learning (RL) with the structure and online replanning capabilities of model predictive control (MPC),…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Angel Romero , Elie Aljalbout , Yunlong Song , Davide Scaramuzza

Complex optimal design and control processes often require repeated evaluations of expensive objective functions and consist of large design spaces. Data-driven surrogates such as neural networks and Gaussian processes provide an attractive…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-07-10 Manaswin Oddiraju , Divyang Amin , Michael Piedmonte , Souma Chowdhury

Bootstrapping is a useful technique for estimating the uncertainty of a predictor, for example, confidence intervals for prediction. It is typically used on small to moderate sized datasets, due to its high computation cost. This work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-12-19 Zhen Qin , Vaclav Petricek , Nikos Karampatziakis , Lihong Li , John Langford

Ensuring high accuracy and efficiency of predictive models is paramount in the aerospace industry, particularly in the context of multidisciplinary design and optimization processes. These processes often require numerous evaluations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 James M. Shihua , Paul Saves , Rhea P. Liem , Joseph Morlier

Agile quadrotor flight pushes the limits of control, actuation, and onboard perception. While time-optimal trajectory planning has been extensively studied, existing approaches typically neglect the tight coupling between vehicle dynamics,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Chao Qin , Jiaxu Xing , Rudolf Reiter , Angel Romero , Yifan Lin , Hugh H. -T. Liu , Davide Scaramuzza

We present an uncertainty-aware, physics-informed neural network (PINN) for option pricing that solves the Black--Scholes (BS) partial differential equation (PDE) as a mesh-free, global surrogate over $(S,t)$. The model embeds the BS…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-11 Sina Kazemian , Ghazal Farhani , Amirhessam Yazdi

In aircraft industry, market needs evolve quickly in a high competitiveness context. This requires adapting a given aircraft model in minimum time considering for example an increase of range or the number of passengers (cf A330 NEO…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-07 Edouard Fournier , Stéphane Grihon , Thierry Klein

In settings where most deaths occur outside the healthcare system, verbal autopsies (VAs) are a common tool to monitor trends in causes of death (COD). VAs are interviews with a surviving caregiver or relative that are used to predict the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-04 Shuxian Fan , Adam Visokay , Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Li Liu , Jeffrey T. Leek , Tyler H. McCormick

The development of next-generation autonomous control of fission systems, such as nuclear power plants, will require leveraging advancements in machine learning. For fission systems, accurate prediction of nuclear transport is important to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-06-01 Akshay J. Dave , Jiankai Yu , Jarod Wilson , Bren Phillips , Kaichao Sun , Benoit Forget

Machine learning predictions are increasingly used to supplement incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in fields such as biomedical research, environmental science, and social science. However, treating predictions as ground truth…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-29 Yilin Song , Dan M. Kluger , Harsh Parikh , Tian Gu