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This article develops a covariate balancing approach for the estimation of treatment effects on the treated (ATT) in a difference-in-differences (DID) research design when panel data are available. We show that the proposed covariate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-05 Junjie Li , Yukitoshi Matsushita

We combine two recently proposed nonparametric difference-in-differences methods, extending them to enable the examination of treatment effect heterogeneity in the staggered adoption setting using machine learning. The proposed method,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-19 Julia Hatamyar , Noemi Kreif , Rudi Rocha , Martin Huber

Treatment effect estimation is essential for informed decision-making in many fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. While flexible machine learning models have been widely applied for estimating heterogeneous treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-29 Pascal Memmesheimer , Vincent Heuveline , Jürgen Hesser

Applying machine learning to real-world medical data, e.g. from hospital archives, has the potential to revolutionize disease detection in brain images. However, detecting pathology in such heterogeneous cohorts is a difficult challenge.…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-06 Ana Lawry Aguila , Ayodeji Ijishakin , Juan Eugenio Iglesias , Tomomi Takenaga , Yukihiro Nomura , Takeharu Yoshikawa , Osamu Abe , Shouhei Hanaoka

Comparative binary outcome data are of fundamental interest in statistics and are often pooled in meta-analyses. Here we examine the simplest case where for each study there are two patient groups and a binary event of interest, giving rise…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-12 Rose Baker , Dan Jackson

Randomized trials typically estimate average relative treatment effects, but decisions on the benefit of a treatment are possibly better informed by more individualized predictions of the absolute treatment effect. In case of a binary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-20 J Hoogland , J IntHout , M Belias , MM Rovers , RD Riley , FE Harrell , KGM Moons , TPA Debray , JB Reitsma

Triple difference-in-differences designs are widely used to estimate causal effects in empirical work. Surveying the literature, we find that most applications include controls. We show that this standard practice is generally biased for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-13 Dor Leventer

There are many measures to report so-called treatment or causal effects: absolute difference, ratio, odds ratio, number needed to treat, and so on. The choice of a measure, e.g. absolute versus relative, is often debated because it leads to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Gaël Varoquaux , Erwan Scornet

Comparing different medications is complicated when adherence to these medications differs. We can overcome the adherence issue by assessing effectiveness under sustained use, as in the usual causal `per-protocol' estimand. However, when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-10 Kerollos Nashat Wanis , Mats Julius Stensrud , Aaron Leor Sarvet

Standard reinforcement learning methods aim to master one way of solving a task whereas there may exist multiple near-optimal policies. Being able to identify this collection of near-optimal policies can allow a domain expert to efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Muhammad A. Masood , Finale Doshi-Velez

Measurement error is a common challenge for causal inference studies using electronic health record (EHR) data, where clinical outcomes and treatments are frequently mismeasured. Researchers often address measurement error by conducting…

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is frequently estimated to refute the homogeneous treatment effect assumption. Under this assumption, all units making up the population under study experience identical benefit from a given…

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

There is intense interest in applying machine learning to problems of causal inference in fields such as healthcare, economics and education. In particular, individual-level causal inference has important applications such as precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Uri Shalit , Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag

Background: Any sample of individuals has its own, unique distribution of preferences for choices that they make. Discrete choice models try to capture these distributions. Mixed logits are by far the most commonly used choice model in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-18 John Buckell , Alice Wreford , Matthew Quaife , Thomas O. Hancock

Much research has been devoted to the problem of estimating treatment effects from observational data; however, most methods assume that the observed variables only contain confounders, i.e., variables that affect both the treatment and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Weijia Zhang , Lin Liu , Jiuyong Li

Missing data is inevitable in longitudinal clinical trials. Conventionally, the missing at random assumption is assumed to handle missingness, which however is unverifiable empirically. Thus, sensitivity analysis is critically important to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Siyi Liu , Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan , Liu

Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) has been increasingly employed in health technology assessments (HTA). By reweighting subjects from a trial with individual participant data (IPD) to match the covariate summary statistics of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Yixin Fang , Weili He

Recent methods to improve generalizations from nonrandom samples typically invoke assumptions such as the strong ignorability of sample selection that are often controversial in practice to derive point estimates. Rather than focus on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-06 Wendy Chan

This paper considers the identification of dynamic treatment effects with panel data, in complex designs where the treatment may not be binary and may not be absorbing. We first show that under no-anticipation and parallel-trends…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-23 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille
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