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Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

For randomized controlled trials to be conclusive, it is important to set the target sample size accurately at the design stage. Comparing two normal populations, the sample size calculation requires specification of the variance other than…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Hirotada Maeda , Satoshi Hattori , Tim Friede

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Generalized linear models are often misspecified due to overdispersion, heteroscedasticity and ignored nuisance variables. Existing quasi-likelihood methods for testing in misspecified models often do not provide satisfactory type-I error…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J Goeman , Livio Finos

The purpose of this study is to provide a new methodology of how one can consistently estimate a change-point in time series data. In contrast with previous studies, the suggested methodology employs only the empirical spectral density and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-22 Gyorgy H. Terdik , Stergios B. Fotopoulos , Venkata K. Jandhyala

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of a sequence of independent observations is studied. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be stationary, while the post-change distributions are allowed to be non-stationary.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-26 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Cross-validation is the standard approach for tuning parameter selection in many non-parametric regression problems. However its use is less common in change-point regression, perhaps as its prediction error-based criterion may appear to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Florian Pein , Rajen D. Shah

Inspired by graph-based methodologies, we introduce a novel graph-spanning algorithm designed to identify changes in both offline and online data across low to high dimensions. This versatile approach is applicable to Euclidean and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

Quantifying uncertainty in detected changepoints is an important problem. However it is challenging as the naive approach would use the data twice, first to detect the changes, and then to test them. This will bias the test, and can lead to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

Large-scale modern data often involves estimation and testing for high-dimensional unknown parameters. It is desirable to identify the sparse signals, ``the needles in the haystack'', with accuracy and false discovery control. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-08 Junhui Cai , Xu Han , Ya'acov Ritov , Linda Zhao

A flexible semiparametric class of models is introduced that offers an alternative to classical regression models for count data as the Poisson and negative binomial model, as well as to more general models accounting for excess zeros that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-30 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

We propose a general framework to construct self-normalized multiple-change-point tests with time series data. The only building block is a user-specified one-change-point detecting statistic, which covers a wide class of popular methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Cheuk Hin Cheng , Kin Wai Chan

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the locations of change points in a high-dimensional mean shift model. To that end, we develop a locally refitted least squares estimator and obtain component-wise and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Abhishek Kaul , George Michailidis

In this paper, we consider a change-point problem for a centered, stationary and $m$-dependent multivariate random field. Under the distribution free assumption, a change-point test using CUSUM statistic is proposed to detect anomalies…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-28 Vitalii Makogin , Duc Nguyen
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