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Normal mean-variance mixture distributions are widely applied to simplify a model's implementation and improve their computational efficiency under the Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach. Especially for distributions with normal mean-variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-18 Thanakorn Nitithumbundit , Jennifer S. K. Chan

This paper presents a distributed estimator for a deterministic parametric physical field sensed by a homogeneous sensor network and develops a new transformed expression for the Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) on the variance of distributed…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-17 Salvatore Talarico , Natalia A. Schmid , Marwan Alkhweldi , Matthew C. Valenti

Training deep generative models with maximum likelihood remains a challenge. The typical workaround is to use variational inference (VI) and maximize a lower bound to the log marginal likelihood of the data. Variational auto-encoders (VAEs)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Adji B. Dieng , John Paisley

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

The problem of estimating return levels of river discharge, relevant in flood frequency analysis, is tackled by relying on the extreme value theory. The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is assumed to model annual maxima values…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini

Many causal parameters depend on a moment of the joint distribution of potential outcomes. Such parameters are especially relevant in policy evaluation settings, where noncompliance is common and accommodated through the model of Imbens &…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-17 Daniel Ober-Reynolds

We propose a new bootstrap-based online algorithm for stochastic linear bandit problems. The key idea is to adopt residual bootstrap exploration, in which the agent estimates the next step reward by re-sampling the residuals of mean reward…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Shuang Wu , Chi-Hua Wang , Yuantong Li , Guang Cheng

Bootstrapping and rollout are two fundamental principles for value function estimation in reinforcement learning (RL). We introduce a novel class of Bellman operators, called subgraph Bellman operators, that interpolate between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Wenlong Mou , Jian Qian

Extreme value analysis in the presence of censoring is receiving much attention as it has applications in many disciplines, including survival and reliability studies. Estimation of extreme value index (EVI) is of primary importance as it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method for finding maximum likelihood estimates when data are incomplete or are treated as being incomplete. The EM algorithm and its variants are commonly used for parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-26 Ryan P. Browne , Sanjeena Subedi , Paul McNicholas

With the growth of interest in network data across fields, the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) has emerged as the leading approach to the statistical analysis of network data. ERGM parameter estimation requires the approximation of an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-10 Christian S. Schmid , Bruce A. Desmarais

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is the workhorse of machine learning, whether for classification and regression or for off-policy policy learning, but its model-agnostic guarantees can fail when we use adaptively collected data, such as…

In this paper we discuss a general methodology to compute the market risk measure over long time horizons and at extreme percentiles, which are the typical conditions needed for estimating Economic Capital. The proposed approach extends the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-08-12 Luca Spadafora , Marco Dubrovich , Marcello Terraneo

The bootstrap provides a simple and powerful means of assessing the quality of estimators. However, in settings involving large datasets, the computation of bootstrap-based quantities can be prohibitively demanding. As an alternative, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Ariel Kleiner , Ameet Talwalkar , Purnamrita Sarkar , Michael Jordan

I propose a new procedure to estimate the False Alarm Probability, the measure of significance for peaks of periodograms. The key element of the new procedure is the use of generalized extreme-value distributions, the limiting distribution…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-12-05 M. Süveges

Estimating the probabilistic Worst-Case Execution Time (pWCET) is essential for ensuring the timing correctness of real-time applications, such as in robot IoT systems and autonomous driving systems. While methods based on Extreme Value…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Hayate Toba , Atsushi Yano , Takuya Azumi

Mixtures-of-Experts models and their maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) via the EM algorithm have been thoroughly studied in the statistics and machine learning literature. They are subject of a growing investigation in the context of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-13 Faïcel Chamroukhi , Florian Lecocq , Hien D. Nguyen

The problem of robust mean estimation in high dimensions is studied, in which a certain fraction (less than half) of the datapoints can be arbitrarily corrupted. Motivated by compressive sensing, the robust mean estimation problem is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-08 Aditya Deshmukh , Jing Liu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou