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Data augmentation with generative adversarial networks (GANs) has been popular for class imbalance problems, mainly for pattern classification and computer vision-related applications. Extreme value forecasting is a challenging field that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Junru Hua , Rahul Ahluwalia , Rohitash Chandra

Empirical best prediction (EBP) is a well-known method for producing reliable proportion estimates when the primary data source provides only small or no sample from finite populations. There are potential challenges in implementing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Aditi Sen , Partha Lahiri

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic framework for likelihood-based inference in the Block Maxima (BM) method for stationary time series. While Bayesian inference under the BM approach has been widely studied in the independence…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-24 David L. Carl , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

A new multivariate integer-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic process based on a multivariate Poisson generalized inverse Gaussian distribution is proposed. The estimation of parameters of the proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Yuhyeong Jang , Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

Extreme value theory (EVT) is a statistical tool for analysis of extreme events. It has a strong theoretical background, however, we need to choose hyper-parameters to apply EVT. In recent studies of machine learning, techniques of choosing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-14 Chikara Nakamura

This paper studies the problem of estimation from relative measurements in a graph, in which a vector indexed over the nodes has to be reconstructed from pairwise measurements of differences between its components associated to nodes…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-07-27 Chiara Ravazzi , Nelson P. K. Chan , Paolo Frasca

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

Estimation of the four generalized lambda distribution parameters is not straightforward, and available estimators that perform best have large computation times. In this paper, we introduce a simple two-step estimator of the parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Complex biological processes are usually experimented along time among a collection of individuals. Longitudinal data are then available and the statistical challenge is to better understand the underlying biological mechanisms. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-11 Pierre Barbillon , Célia Barthélémy , Adeline Samson

Risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) focus on extreme losses, where scarce tail data makes model error unavoidable. To hedge misspecification, one evaluates worst-case tail risk over an ambiguity set. Using Extreme Value…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-22 Anand Deo

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for estimating parameters of expensive simulation models, particularly in settings where the likelihood is intractable and evaluations are costly. In stochastic models every simulation is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens , Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , David O'Gara , Jonathan Ozik

The linear regression model with a random variable (RV) measurement matrix, where the mean of the random measurement matrix has full column rank, has been extensively studied. In particular, the quasiconvexity of the maximum likelihood…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-16 Ruohai Guo , Jiang Zhu , Xing Jiang , Fengzhong Qu

Processing high-volume, streaming data is increasingly common in modern statistics and machine learning, where batch-mode algorithms are often impractical because they require repeated passes over the full dataset. This has motivated…

Estimation of the mean vector and covariance matrix is of central importance in the analysis of multivariate data. In the framework of generalized linear models, usually the variances are certain functions of the means with the normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-25 Anupam Kundu , Mohsen Pourahmadi

A new method is proposed for modelling the yearly maxima of sub-daily precipitation, with the aim of producing spatial maps of return level estimates. Yearly precipitation maxima are modelled using a Bayesian hierarchical model with a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Silius M. Vandeskog , Sara Martino , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Håvard Rue

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

In this study, we propose a robust mixture regression procedure based on the skew t distribution to model heavy-tailed and/or skewed errors in a mixture regression setting. Using the scale mixture representation of the skew t distribution,…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-12 Fatma Zehra Doğru , Olcay Arslan