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Adaptive subgroup enrichment design is an efficient design framework that allows accelerated development for investigational treatments while also having flexibility in population selection within the course of the trial. The adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Liwen Wu , Qing Li , Mengya Liu , Jianchang Lin

Adaptive experimental designs have gained increasing attention across a range of domains. In this paper, we propose a new methodological framework, surrogate-leveraged online adaptive causal inference (SLOACI), which integrates predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-09 Yingying Fan , Zihan Wang , Waverly Wei

Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-18 Zhiwei Gao , George Karniadakis

Adaptive experimental designs have gained popularity in clinical trials and online experiments. Unlike traditional, fixed experimental designs, adaptive designs can dynamically adjust treatment randomization probabilities and other design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Wenxin Zhang , Mark van der Laan

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

The central task in modeling complex dynamical systems is parameter estimation. This task involves numerous evaluations of a computationally expensive objective function. Surrogate-based optimization introduces a computationally efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-19 Žiga Lukšič , Jovan Tanevski , Sašo Džeroski , Ljupčo Todorovski

We introduce the concept of decision-focused surrogate modeling for solving computationally challenging nonlinear optimization problems in real-time settings. The proposed data-driven framework seeks to learn a simpler, e.g. convex,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Studying complex phenomena in detail by performing real experiments is often an unfeasible task. Virtual experiments using simulations are usually used to support the development process. However, numerical simulations are limited by their…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-17 Pietro Lualdi , Ralf Sturm , Tjark Siefkes

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

We propose a new approach for building recommender systems by adapting surrogate-assisted interactive genetic algorithms. A pool of user-evaluated items is used to construct an approximative model which serves as a surrogate fitness…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-08-09 Thomas Gabor , Philipp Altmann

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

This paper introduces a novel two-stage machine learning-based surrogate modeling framework to address inverse problems in scientific and engineering fields. In the first stage of the proposed framework, a machine learning model termed the…

Decision support systems often rely on solving complex optimization problems that may require to estimate uncertain parameters beforehand. Recent studies have shown how using traditionally trained estimators for this task can lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Gaetano Signorelli , Michele Lombardi

Constructing decision trees online is a classical machine learning problem. Existing works often assume that features are readily available for each incoming data point. However, in many real world applications, both feature values and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-18 Arman Rahbar , Ziyu Ye , Yuxin Chen , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

Two useful strategies to speed up drug development are to increase the patient accrual rate and use novel adaptive designs. Unfortunately, these two strategies often conflict when the evaluation of the outcome cannot keep pace with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-24 Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

Trial level surrogates are useful tools for improving the speed and cost effectiveness of trials, but surrogates that have not been properly evaluated can cause misleading results. The evaluation procedure is often contextual and depends on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-23 Michael C Sachs , Erin E Gabriel , Alessio Crippa , Michael J Daniels

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin
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