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Motivated by environmental policy questions, we address the challenges of estimation, change point detection, and uncertainty quantification of a causal exposure-response function (CERF). Under a potential outcome framework, the CERF…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-27 Boyu Ren , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Natesh Pillai , Francesca Dominici

This study introduces a novel approach utilizing Gaussian process model predictive control (MPC) to stabilize the output voltage of a polymer electrolyte fuel cell (PEFC) system by simultaneously regulating hydrogen and airflow rates. Two…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Xiufei Li , Miao Zhang , Yuanxin Qi , Miao Yang

Simultaneous $\gamma$-ray measurements of gamma-ray burst (GRB) spectra and polarization offer a unique way to determine the underlying emission mechanism(s) in these objects as well as probing the particle acceleration mechanism(s) that…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2019-08-13 J. Michael Burgess , M. Kole , F. Berlato , J. Greiner , G. Vianello , N. Produit , Z. H Li , J. C Sun

The present work is aimed to examine the potential of advanced machine learning strategies to predict the monthly rainfall (precipitation) for the Indus Basin, using climatological variables such as air temperature, geo-potential height,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-01-27 Hamidreza Ghasemi Damavandi , Reepal Shah

Urban air quality forecasting is challenging because pollutant concentrations are nonlinear, nonstationary, spatiotemporally dependent, and often affected by anomalous observations caused by traffic congestion, industrial emissions, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Nourin Jahan , Madhurima Panja , Muhammed Navas T , Tanujit Chakraborty

We present a detection problem where several spatially distributed sensors observe Poisson signals emitted from a single source of unknown position. The measurements at each sensor are modeled by independent inhomogeneous Poisson processes.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-19 Christian Farinetto , Yury A. Kutoyants , Alioune Top

When using incorrect or inaccurate signal models to perform parameter estimation on a gravitational wave signal, biased parameter estimates will in general be obtained. For a single event this bias may be consistent with the posterior, but…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2015-06-01 Jonathan R. Gair , Christopher J. Moore

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

The accurate prediction of precipitation is important to allow for reliable warnings of flood or drought risk in a changing climate. However, to make trust-worthy predictions of precipitation, at a local scale, is one of the most difficult…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Sherman Lo , Peter Watson , Peter Dueben , Ritabrata Dutta

We propose an empirical method for identifying low damped modes and corresponding mode shapes using frequency measurements from a Wide Area Monitoring System. The method consists of two main steps: Firstly, Complex Principal Component…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-02 Hallvar Haugdal , Kjetil Uhlen

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

This paper proposes a Bayesian framework for localization of multiple sources in the event of accidental hazardous contaminant release. The framework assimilates sensor measurements of the contaminant concentration with an integrated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Young-Jin Park , Piyush M. Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

It is of crucial importance to be able to identify the location of atmospheric pollution sources in our planet. Global models of atmospheric transport in combination with diverse Earth observing systems are a natural choice to achieve this…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-11-26 Mauricio Santillana

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

Inverse parameter estimation of process-based models is a long-standing problem in many scientific disciplines. A key question for inverse parameter estimation is how to define the metric that quantifies how well model predictions fit to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-05-09 Florian Hartig , Claudia Dislich , Thorsten Wiegand , Andreas Huth

One way to quantify exposure to air pollution and its constituents in epidemiologic studies is to use an individual's nearest monitor. This strategy results in potential inaccuracy in the actual personal exposure, introducing bias in…

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

Air pollution remains a critical environmental and public health challenge, demanding high-resolution spatial data to better understand its spatial distribution and impacts. This study addresses the challenges of conducting multivariate…

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Global Climate Models (GCMs) are numerical models that simulate complex physical processes within the Earth's climate system and are essential for understanding and predicting climate change. However, GCMs suffer from systemic biases due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Reetam Majumder , Shiqi Fang , A. Sankarasubramanian , Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich