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Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM) is a technique for computing specific kinds of correlations between sets of times series. It was introduced by Sugihara et al. and is reported to be "a necessary condition for causation" capable of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-12-02 James M. McCracken , Robert S. Weigel

Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a powerful method for detecting causality in coupled nonlinear dynamical systems, providing a model-free approach to capture dynamic causal interactions. Partial Cross Mapping (PCM) was introduced as an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Elise Zhang , François Mirallès , Raphaël Rousseau-Rizzi , Arnaud Zinflou , Di Wu , Benoit Boulet

Convergent Cross-Mapping (CCM) has shown high potential to perform causal inference in the absence of models. We assess the strengths and weaknesses of the method by varying coupling strength and noise levels in coupled logistic maps. We…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2018-10-19 Dan Mønster , Riccardo Fusaroli , Kristian Tylén , Andreas Roepstorff , Jacob F. Sherson

To gain deeper insights into a complex sensor system through the lens of causality, we present common and individual causal mechanism estimation (CICME), a novel three-step approach to inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Jingyi Yu , Tim Pychynski , Marco F. Huber

We present a computational framework for analysis and visualization of non-linear functional connectivity in the human brain from resting state functional MRI (fMRI) data for purposes of recovering the underlying network community structure…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2014-07-16 Axel Wismüller , Xixi Wang , Adora M. DSouza , Mahesh B. Nagarajan

Identifying causal relationships in climate systems remains challenging due to nonlinear, coupled dynamics that limit the effectiveness of linear and stochastic causal discovery approaches. This study benchmarks Convergence Cross Mapping…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Francis Nji , Seraj Al Mahmud Mostafa , Jianwu Wang

Analyzing time series in the frequency domain enables the development of powerful tools for investigating the second-order characteristics of multivariate processes. Parameters like the spectral density matrix and its inverse, the coherence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-19 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

Effective connectivity analysis in functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) studies directional interactions among brain regions and experimental stimuli. Dynamic causal modeling (DCM) is a widely used method to estimate effective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Kaitlyn R. Fales , Hyebin Song , Nicole A. Lazar

Three state-space based methods were tested in relation to the ability to detect unidirectional coupling and synchronization of interconnected dynamical systems. The first method, based on measure named M, was introduced by Andrzejak et al.…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2016-12-13 Anna Krakovská , Jozef Jakubík , Hana Budáčová , Mária Holecyová

Dynamic Causal Modeling (DCM) is a Bayesian framework for inferring on hidden (latent) neuronal states, based on measurements of brain activity. Since its introduction in 2003 for functional magnetic resonance imaging data, DCM has been…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-04-08 Inês Pereira , Stefan Frässle , Jakob Heinzle , Dario Schöbi , Cao Tri Do , Moritz Gruber , Klaas E. Stephan

Complex dynamical systems are prevalent in many scientific disciplines. In the analysis of such systems two aspects are of particular interest: 1) the temporal patterns along which they evolve and 2) the underlying causal mechanisms.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Nicolas-Domenic Reiter , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Data based detection and quantification of causation in complex, nonlinear dynamical systems is of paramount importance to science, engineering and beyond. Inspired by the widely used methodology in recent years, the cross-map-based…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-03-29 Xiong Ying , Si-Yang Leng , Huan-Fei Ma , Qing Nie , Ying-Cheng Lai , Wei Lin

Discovering the causal structure among a set of variables is a fundamental problem in many areas of science. In this paper, we propose Kernel Conditional Deviance for Causal Inference (KCDC) a fully nonparametric causal discovery method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-13 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

We present a theory of causality in dynamical systems using Koopman operators. Our theory is grounded on a rigorous definition of causal mechanism in dynamical systems given in terms of flow maps. In the Koopman framework, we prove that…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-06 Adam Rupe , Derek DeSantis , Craig Bakker , Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu

Discovering causal relations from observational time series without making the stationary assumption is a significant challenge. In practice, this challenge is common in many areas, such as retail sales, transportation systems, and medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal discovery problems use a set of observations to deduce causality between variables in the real world, typically to answer questions about biological or physical systems. These observations are often recorded at regular time…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Damian Machlanski , Panagiotis Dimitrakopoulos , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

Most neural models of causality assume static causal graphs, failing to capture the dynamic and sparse nature of physical interactions where causal relationships emerge and dissolve over time. We introduce the Causal Process Framework and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Turan Orujlu , Christian Gumbsch , Martin V. Butz , Charley M Wu

Causality defines the relationship between cause and effect. In multivariate time series field, this notion allows to characterize the links between several time series considering temporal lags. These phenomena are particularly important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Antonin Arsac , Aurore Lomet , Jean-Philippe Poli

Multivariate spatial field data are increasingly common and whose modeling typically relies on building cross-covariance functions to describe cross-process relationships. An alternative viewpoint is to model the matrix of spectral…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-07 William Kleiber

Identifying causal relationships is a challenging yet crucial problem in many fields of science like epidemiology, climatology, ecology, genomics, economics and neuroscience, to mention only a few. Recent studies have demonstrated that…

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