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Correcting for detector effects in experimental data, particularly through unfolding, is critical for enabling precision measurements in high-energy physics. However, traditional unfolding methods face challenges in scalability,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-28 Camila Pazos , Shuchin Aeron , Pierre-Hugues Beauchemin , Vincent Croft , Zhengyan Huan , Martin Klassen , Taritree Wongjirad

The mean field variational inference (MFVI) formulation restricts the general Bayesian inference problem to the subspace of product measures. We present a framework to analyze MFVI algorithms, which is inspired by a similar development for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Soumyadip Ghosh , Yingdong Lu , Tomasz Nowicki , Edith Zhang

Probabilistic modeling is iterative. A scientist posits a simple model, fits it to her data, refines it according to her analysis, and repeats. However, fitting complex models to large data is a bottleneck in this process. Deriving…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-03 Alp Kucukelbir , Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , Andrew Gelman , David M. Blei

Intensity estimation is a common problem in statistical analysis of spatial point pattern data. This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for estimating the spatial point process intensity based on mixture of finite mixture (MFM)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-09 Junxian Geng , Wei Shi , Guanyu Hu

Modeling stiff partial differential equations (PDEs) with sharp gradients remains a significant challenge for scientific machine learning. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) struggle with spectral bias and slow training times,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-09 Akshay Govind Srinivasan , Balaji Srinivasan

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park

We consider the problem of inference in discrete probabilistic models, that is, distributions over subsets of a finite ground set. These encompass a range of well-known models in machine learning, such as determinantal point processes and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Alkis Gotovos , Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause , Stefanie Jegelka

Bayesian methods are appealing in their flexibility in modeling complex data and ability in capturing uncertainty in parameters. However, when Bayes' rule does not result in tractable closed-form, most approximate inference algorithms lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-09 Bo Dai , Niao He , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

Future wireless networks are envisioned to provide ubiquitous sensing services, which also gives rise to a substantial demand for high-dimensional non-convex parameter estimation, i.e., the associated likelihood function is non-convex and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-10 Zhixiang Hu , An Liu , Minjian Zhao

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

A novel approach for non-intrusive uncertainty propagation is proposed. Our approach overcomes the limitation of many traditional methods, such as generalised polynomial chaos methods, which may lack sufficient accuracy when the quantity of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-03-20 Yous van Halder , Benjamin Sanderse , Barry Koren

This paper introduces posterior mean matching (PMM), a new method for generative modeling that is grounded in Bayesian inference. PMM uses conjugate pairs of distributions to model complex data of various modalities like images and text,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Sebastian Salazar , Michal Kucer , Yixin Wang , Emily Casleton , David Blei

Deformable object manipulation remains a challenging task in robotics research. Conventional techniques for parameter inference and state estimation typically rely on a precise definition of the state space and its dynamics. While this is…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Rika Antonova , Jingyun Yang , Priya Sundaresan , Dieter Fox , Fabio Ramos , Jeannette Bohg

Diffusion Models (DMs) have impressive capabilities among generation models, but are limited to slower inference speeds and higher computational costs. Previous works utilize one-shot structure pruning to derive lightweight DMs from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-17 Ben Wan , Tianyi Zheng , Zhaoyu Chen , Yuxiao Wang , Jia Wang

We present a multi-fidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution. In the Bayesian inference setting, traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Caroline Tatsuoka , Minglei Yang , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

A major concern in using deep learning based generative models for document-grounded dialogs is the potential generation of responses that are not \textit{faithful} to the underlying document. Existing automated metrics used for evaluating…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Yatin Nandwani , Vineet Kumar , Dinesh Raghu , Sachindra Joshi , Luis A. Lastras

Particle-based Bayesian inference methods by sampling from a partition-free target (posterior) distribution, e.g., Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), have attracted significant attention. We propose a path-guided particle-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Mingzhou Fan , Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian , Xiaoning Qian

Accurate calibration of stochastic agent-based models (ABMs) in epidemiology is crucial to make them useful in public health policy decisions and interventions. Traditional calibration methods, e.g., Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Connor Robertson , Cosmin Safta , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik , Jaideep Ray

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equation mixed effects models (SDEMEMs) is a challenging problem. Analytical solutions for these models are rarely available, which means that the likelihood is also intractable. In this case,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi

We propose and numerically implement a constitutive framework for granular media that allows the material to traverse through its many common phases during the flow process. When dense, the material is treated as a pressure sensitive…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-12-09 Sachith Dunatunga , Ken Kamrin