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In causal inference, sensitivity analysis is important to assess the robustness of study conclusions to key assumptions. We perform sensitivity analysis of the assumption that missing outcomes are missing completely at random. We follow a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-12 Bart Eggen , Stéphanie L. van der Pas , Aad W. van der Vaart

As one of the most commonly seen data challenges, missing data, in particular, multiple, non-monotone missing patterns, complicates estimation and inference due to the fact that missingness mechanisms are often not missing at random, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-21 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

Causal inference for testing clinical hypotheses from observational data presents many difficulties because the underlying data-generating model and the associated causal graph are not usually available. Furthermore, observational data may…

Under missing-not-at-random (MNAR) sample selection bias, the performance of a prediction model is often degraded. This paper focuses on one classic instance of MNAR sample selection bias where a subset of samples have non-randomly missing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Huy Mai , Xintao Wu

Mediation analysis is a powerful tool for studying causal pathways between exposure, mediator, and outcome variables of interest. While classical mediation analysis using observational data often requires strong and sometimes unrealistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Rita Qiuran Lyu , Chong Wu , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

Image classification models often learn to predict a class based on irrelevant co-occurrences between input features and an output class in training data. We call the unwanted correlations "data biases," and the visual features causing data…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Bum Chul Kwon , Jungsoo Lee , Chaeyeon Chung , Nyoungwoo Lee , Ho-Jin Choi , Jaegul Choo

Faced with data-driven policies, individuals will manipulate their features to obtain favorable decisions. While earlier works cast these manipulations as undesirable gaming, recent works have adopted a more nuanced causal framing in which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Tom Yan , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary Lipton

Machine learning risks reinforcing biases present in data and, as we argue in this work, in what is absent from data. In healthcare, societal and decision biases shape patterns in missing data, yet the algorithmic fairness implications of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-19 Vincent Jeanselme , Maria De-Arteaga , Zhe Zhang , Jessica Barrett , Brian Tom

When epidemiologic studies are conducted in a subset of the population, selection bias can threaten the validity of causal inference. This bias can occur whether or not that selected population is the target population, and can occur even…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-07 Louisa H. Smith , Tyler J. VanderWeele

Policy learning utilizing observational data is pivotal across various domains, with the objective of learning the optimal treatment assignment policy while adhering to specific constraints such as fairness, budget, and simplicity. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Pan Zhao , Antoine Chambaz , Julie Josse , Shu Yang

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are commonly used to estimate causal intervention effects in longitudinal non-randomised studies. A common issue when analysing data from observational studies is the presence of incomplete confounder data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-02 Clemence Leyrat , James R Carpenter , Sebastien Bailly , Elizabeth J Willamson

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

We study a marginal empirical likelihood approach in scenarios when the number of variables grows exponentially with the sample size. The marginal empirical likelihood ratios as functions of the parameters of interest are systematically…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-07 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yichao Wu

When a subgroup is identified from the data, it must be evaluated in a replicable way. The usual in-sample approach, which evaluates the post-hoc identified subgroup as predefined, might suffer from selection bias. This issue of in-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Shuoxun Xu , Xinzhou Guo

We develop a general framework for the identification of counterfactual parameters in a class of nonlinear semiparametric panel models with fixed effects and time effects. Our method applies to models for discrete outcomes (e.g., two-way…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-07 Irene Botosaru , Chris Muris

The unit selection problem aims to identify a set of individuals who are most likely to exhibit a desired mode of behavior, for example, selecting individuals who would respond one way if encouraged and a different way if not encouraged.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

A fundamental challenge in observational causal inference is that assumptions about unconfoundedness are not testable from data. Assessing sensitivity to such assumptions is therefore important in practice. Unfortunately, some existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-15 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Avi Feller

A key challenge in causal inference from observational studies is the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for causal inference that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Ying Zhou , Dingke Tang , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang