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Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

This methodological review examines the use of the causal forest method by applied researchers across 133 peer-reviewed papers. It shows that the emerging best practice relies heavily on the approach and tools created by the original…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-24 Patrick Rehill

Bi-clustering is a useful approach in analyzing biological data when observations come from heterogeneous groups and have a large number of features. We outline a general Bayesian approach in tackling bi-clustering problems in moderate to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Han Yan , Jiexing Wu , Yang Li , Jun S. Liu

One of the most pressing issues in AI in recent years has been the need to address the lack of explainability of many of its models. We focus on explanations for discrete Bayesian network classifiers (BCs), targeting greater transparency of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-03-11 Antonio Rago , Emanuele Albini , Pietro Baroni , Francesca Toni

Both Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and composite likelihood methods are useful for Bayesian and frequentist inference, respectively, when the likelihood function is intractable. We propose to use composite likelihood score…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-25 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

Instrumental variable based estimation of a causal effect has emerged as a standard approach to mitigate confounding bias in the social sciences and epidemiology, where conducting randomized experiments can be too costly or impossible.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Danielle Tsao , Krikamol Muandet , Frederick Eberhardt , Emilija Perković

This paper describes a Bayesian method for combining an arbitrary mixture of observational and experimental data in order to learn causal Bayesian networks. Observational data are passively observed. Experimental data, such as that produced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Gregory F. Cooper , Changwon Yoo

Causal discovery combines data with knowledge provided by experts to learn the DAG representing the causal relationships between a given set of variables. When data are scarce, bagging is used to measure our confidence in an average DAG…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Alessio Zanga , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella

Causal inference typically assumes centralized access to individual-level data. Yet, in practice, data are often decentralized across multiple sites, making centralization infeasible due to privacy, logistical, or legal constraints. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Rémi Khellaf , Aurélien Bellet , Julie Josse

Recommending items to users has long been a fundamental task, and studies have tried to improve it ever since. Most well-known models commonly employ representation learning to map users and items into a unified embedding space for matching…

This invited feature article introduces and provides an extensive simulation study of a new Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) framework for estimating the posterior distribution and the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 George Karabatsos

Federated Learning enables multiple data centers to train a central model collaboratively without exposing any confidential data. Even though deterministic models are capable of performing high prediction accuracy, their lack of calibration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-24 Atahan Ozer , Kadir Burak Buldu , Abdullah Akgül , Gozde Unal

Clinical decision-making demands uncertainty quantification that provides both distribution-free coverage guarantees and risk-adaptive precision, requirements that existing methods fail to jointly satisfy. We present a hybrid…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi , Ali Baheri , Nasibeh Azadeh-Fard

We propose a new method to estimate causal effects from nonexperimental data. Each pair of sample units is first associated with a stochastic 'treatment' - differences in factors between units - and an effect - a resultant outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-08 Andre F. Ribeiro , Frank Neffke , Ricardo Hausmann

In this paper, we propose the use of causal inference techniques for survival function estimation and prediction for subgroups of the data, upto individual units. Tree ensemble methods, specifically random forests were modified for this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-03-23 Vikas Ramachandra

In cancer research, overall survival and progression free survival are often analyzed with the Cox model. To estimate accurately the parameters in the model, sufficient data and, more importantly, sufficient events need to be observed. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-29 Hassan Pazira , Emanuele Massa , Jetty AM Weijers , Anthony CC Coolen , Marianne A Jonker

We present a novel framework for concomitant dimension reduction and clustering. This framework is based on a novel class of Bayesian clustering factor models. These models assume a factor model structure where the vectors of common factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-09 Hwasoo Shin , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Allison N. Tegge

In this paper, we study causal inference when the treatment variable is an aggregation of multiple sub-treatment variables. Researchers often report marginal causal effects for the aggregated treatment, implicitly assuming that the target…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-08 Carolina Caetano , Gregorio Caetano , Brantly Callaway , Derek Dyal

Mechanistic models of single-neuron dynamics have been extensively studied in computational neuroscience. However, identifying which models can quantitatively reproduce empirically measured data has been challenging. We propose to overcome…

In recent years dynamical modelling has been provided with a range of breakthrough methods to perform exact Bayesian inference. However it is often computationally unfeasible to apply exact statistical methodologies in the context of large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-24 Umberto Picchini , Julie Lyng Forman