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The traditional two-stage approach to causal inference first identifies a single causal model (or equivalence class of models), which is then used to answer causal queries. However, this neglects any epistemic model uncertainty. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Christian Toth , Christian Knoll , Franz Pernkopf , Robert Peharz

Learning causality from observational data has received increasing interest across various scientific fields. However, most existing methods assume the absence of latent confounders and restrict the underlying causal graph to be acyclic,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Wei Jin , Lang Lang , Amanda B. Spence , Leah H. Rubin , Yanxun Xu

Sparse functional data frequently arise in real-world applications, posing significant challenges for accurate classification. To address this, we propose a novel classification method that integrates functional principal component analysis…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Ahmad Talafha

Inferring causal structures from experimentation is a central task in many domains. For example, in biology, recent advances allow us to obtain single-cell expression data under multiple interventions such as drugs or gene knockouts.…

Few problems in statistics are as perplexing as variable selection in the presence of very many redundant covariates. The variable selection problem is most familiar in parametric environments such as the linear model or additive variants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Yi Liu , Veronika Ročková , Yuexi Wang

We introduce canonical correlation forests (CCFs), a new decision tree ensemble method for classification and regression. Individual canonical correlation trees are binary decision trees with hyperplane splits based on local canonical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-10 Tom Rainforth , Frank Wood

We present the Bayesian consensus filter (BCF) for tracking a moving target using a networked group of sensing agents and achieving consensus on the best estimate of the probability distributions of the target's states. Our BCF framework…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-10-14 Saptarshi Bandyopadhyay , Soon-Jo Chung

Analysts often use data-driven approaches to supplement their substantive knowledge when selecting covariates for causal effect estimation. Multiple variable selection procedures tailored for causal effect estimation have been devised in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-27 Denis Talbot , Claudia Beaudoin

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

Federated learning brings potential benefits of faster learning, better solutions, and a greater propensity to transfer when heterogeneous data from different parties increases diversity. However, because federated learning tasks tend to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Duc Thien Nguyen , Shiau Hoong Lim , Laura Wynter , Desmond Cai

When treatment policy estimands are of interest, clinical trials often attempt to collect patient data after intercurrent events (ICEs), although such data are often limited. Retrieved dropout imputation methods, which use pre-ICE and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Brendah Nansereko , Marcel Wolbers , James R. Carpenter , Jonathan W. Bartlett

Scientists often want to learn about cause and effect from hierarchical data, collected from subunits nested inside units. Consider students in schools, cells in patients, or cities in states. In such settings, unit-level variables (e.g.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-27 Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

We present a workflow for clinical data analysis that relies on Bayesian Structure Learning (BSL), an unsupervised learning approach, robust to noise and biases, that allows to incorporate prior medical knowledge into the learning process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Elisa Ferrari , Luna Gargani , Greta Barbieri , Lorenzo Ghiadoni , Francesco Faita , Davide Bacciu

In the domain of causal inference research, the prevalent potential outcomes framework, notably the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), often overlooks individual interference and assumes independent treatment effects. This assumption, however, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Hongtao Zhu , Sizhe Zhang , Yang Su , Zhenyu Zhao , Nan Chen

Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence solutions are essential in today's data-driven applications, prioritizing principles such as robustness, safety, transparency, explainability, and privacy among others. This has led to the emergence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-04 Alberto Argente-Garrido , Cristina Zuheros , M. Victoria Luzón , Francisco Herrera

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD), including atherosclerosis CVD (ASCVD), are multifactorial diseases that present a major economic and social burden worldwide. Tremendous efforts have been made to understand traditional risk factors for ASCVD,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-26 Thierry Chekouo , Sandra E. Safo

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-05-29 Simon R. White , Theodore Kypraios , Simon P. Preston

Estimating causal effects from observational data is inherently challenging due to the lack of observable counterfactual outcomes and even the presence of unmeasured confounding. Traditional methods often rely on restrictive, untestable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan