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Now that Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become widely used, an appreciation is developing of just how critical an awareness of the sensitivity and robustness of certain target variables are to changes in the model. When time resources are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-20 Sophia K. Wright , Jim Q. Smith

Sensitivity methods for the analysis of the outputs of discrete Bayesian networks have been extensively studied and implemented in different software packages. These methods usually focus on the study of sensitivity functions and on the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-07-05 Manuele Leonelli , Christiane Görgen , Jim Q. Smith

Bayesian networks are now being used in enormous fields, for example, diagnosis of a system, data mining, clustering and so on. In spite of their wide range of applications, the statistical properties have not yet been clarified, because…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Keisuke Yamazaki , Sumio Watanbe

Robust Bayesian analysis has been mainly devoted to detecting and measuring robustness w.r.t. the prior distribution. Many contributions in the literature aim to define suitable classes of priors which allow the computation of variations of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-04 Antonio Di Noia , Fabrizio Ruggeri , Antonietta Mira

This work initiates a systematic investigation of testing high-dimensional structured distributions by focusing on testing Bayesian networks -- the prototypical family of directed graphical models. A Bayesian network is defined by a…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Clement Canonne , Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel Kane , Alistair Stewart

This paper develops a methodology for robust Bayesian inference through the use of disparities. Metrics such as Hellinger distance and negative exponential disparity have a long history in robust estimation in frequentist inference. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-28 Giles Hooker , Anand Vidyashankar

Complex networks can model the structure and dynamics of different types of systems. It has been shown that they are characterized by a set of measures. In this work, we evaluate the variability of complex networks measures face to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Raquel Cabral , Alejandro Frery , Jaime Ramírez

Approximate Bayesian inference is NP-hard. Dagum and Luby defined the Local Variance Bound (LVB) to measure the approximation hardness of Bayesian inference on Bayesian networks, assuming the networks model strictly positive joint…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Haohai Yu , Robert A. van Engelen

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

The estimation of Bayesian networks given high-dimensional data, in particular gene expression data, has been the focus of much recent research. Whilst there are several methods available for the estimation of such networks, these typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-12-01 Jessica Kasza , Gary Glonek , Patty Solomon

The effect of inaccuracies in the parameters of a dynamic Bayesian network can be investigated by subjecting the network to a sensitivity analysis. Having detailed the resulting sensitivity functions in our previous work, we now study the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Theodore Charitos , Linda C. van der Gaag

Learning Bayesian networks from raw data can help provide insights into the relationships between variables. While real data often contains a mixture of discrete and continuous-valued variables, many Bayesian network structure learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-09-19 Yi-Chun Chen , Tim Allan Wheeler , Mykel John Kochenderfer

Bayesian sociality models provide a scalable and flexible alternative for network analysis, capturing degree heterogeneity through actor-specific parameters while mitigating the identifiability challenges of latent space models. This paper…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-20 Juan Sosa , Carlo Martínez

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Sensitivity analysis measures the influence of a Bayesian network's parameters on a quantity of interest defined by the network, such as the probability of a variable taking a specific value. Various sensitivity measures have been defined…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-02 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

We introduce a probabilistic robustness measure for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), defined as the probability that, given a test point, there exists a point within a bounded set such that the BNN prediction differs between the two. Such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Nicola Paoletti , Andrea Patane , Matthew Wicker

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Neural networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in software, and it is therefore important to be able to verify their behavior. Because verifying the correctness of neural networks is extremely challenging, it is common to focus on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-19 Ravi Mangal , Aditya V. Nori , Alessandro Orso

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck
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