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Causal random forests provide efficient estimates of heterogeneous treatment effects. However, forest algorithms are also well-known for their black-box nature, and therefore, do not characterize how input variables are involved in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Clément Bénard , Julie Josse

The linear varying coefficient models posits a linear relationship between an outcome and covariates in which the covariate effects are modeled as functions of additional effect modifiers. Despite a long history of study and use in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Sameer K. Deshpande , Ray Bai , Cecilia Balocchi , Jennifer E. Starling , Jordan Weiss

Querying causal effects from time-series data is important across various fields, including healthcare, economics, climate science, and epidemiology. However, this task becomes complex in the existence of time-varying latent confounders,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc duy Le , Xudong Guo , Shichao Zhang

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

We consider the problem of identifying sub-groups of participants in a clinical trial that have enhanced treatment effect. Recursive partitioning methods that recursively partition the covariate space based on some measure of between groups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-22 Jon Arni Steingrimsson , Jiabei Yang

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

In many insurance contexts, dependence between risks of a portfolio may arise from their frequencies. We investigate a dependent risk model in which we assume the vector of count variables to be a tree-structured Markov random field with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Hélène Cossette , Benjamin Côté , Alexandre Dubeau , Etienne Marceau

Varying-coefficient functional linear models consider the relationship between a response and a predictor, where the response depends not only the predictor but also an exogenous variable. It then accounts for the relation of the predictors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Hidetoshi Matsui

Capturing the conditional covariances or correlations among the elements of a multivariate response vector based on covariates is important to various fields including neuroscience, epidemiology and biomedicine. We propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Cansu Alakus , Denis Larocque , Aurelie Labbe

Interval-censored data analysis is important in biomedical statistics for any type of time-to-event response where the time of response is not known exactly, but rather only known to occur between two assessment times. Many clinical trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-12 Weichi Yao , Halina Frydman , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

As a classical problem, covariance estimation has drawn much attention from the statistical community for decades. Much work has been done under the frequentist and the Bayesian frameworks. Aiming to quantify the uncertainty of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-17 W. Jenny Shi , Jan Hannig , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

Regression methods for interval-valued data have been increasingly studied in recent years. As most of the existing works focus on linear models, it is important to note that many problems in practice are nonlinear in nature and therefore…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Chih-Ching Yeh , Yan Sun , Adele Cutler

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

An important objective of experimental biology is the quantification of the relationship between predictor and response variables, a statistical analysis often termed variance partitioning (VP). In this paper, a series of simulations is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-27 Matthias M. Fischer

Tree methods (recursive partitioning) are a popular class of nonparametric methods for analyzing data. One extension of the basic tree methodology is the survival tree, which applies recursive partitioning to censored survival data. There…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-01 Wei Fu , Jeffrey S. Simonoff