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相关论文: Copula-Based Estimation of Causal Effects in Multi…

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We study regression models for the situation where both dependent and independent variables are square-integrable stochastic processes. Questions concerning the definition and existence of the corresponding functional linear regression…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-02-28 Guozhong He , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang , Wenjing Yang

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-03 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei , Edoardo M. Airoldi

When a linear model is adjusted to control for additional explanatory variables the sign of a fitted coefficient may reverse. Here these reversals are studied using coefficients of determination. The resulting theory can be used to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-11 Brian Knaeble , Seth Dutter

Partial identification approaches are a flexible and robust alternative to standard point-identification approaches in general instrumental variable models. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of a ``curse of cardinality'': the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-30 Florian Gunsilius

The empirical copula process plays a central role in the asymptotic analysis of many statistical procedures which are based on copulas or ranks. Among other applications, results regarding its weak convergence can be used to develop…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-24 Axel Bücher , Betina Berghaus , Stanislav Volgushev

We propose an instrumental variable framework for identifying and estimating causal effects of discrete and continuous treatments with binary instruments. The basis of our approach is a local copula representation of the joint distribution…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-17 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Sukjin Han , Kaspar Wüthrich

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

This article proposes a space-efficient approximation to empirical tail dependence coefficients of an indefinite bivariate stream of data. The approximation, which has stream-length invariant error bounds, utilises recent work on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Alastair Gregory , Kaushik Jana

We propose a new semi-parametric distributional regression smoother that is based on a copula decomposition of the joint distribution of the vector of response values. The copula is high-dimensional and constructed by inversion of a pseudo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

The original development of Shapley values for prediction explanation relied on the assumption that the features being described were independent. If the features in reality are dependent this may lead to incorrect explanations. Hence,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Kjersti Aas , Thomas Nagler , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Two of the most important extensions of the basic regression model are moderated effects (due to interactions) and mediated effects (i.e. indirect effects). Combinations of these effects may also be present. In this work, an important, yet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Marcel A. Croon

The empirical copula process plays a central role for statistical inference on copulas. Recently, Segers (2011) investigated the asymptotic behavior of this process under non-restrictive smoothness assumptions for the case of i.i.d. random…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-14 Axel Bücher , Stanislav Volgushev

Regression methods dominate the practice of biostatistical analysis, but biostatistical training emphasises the details of regression models and methods ahead of the purposes for which such modelling might be useful. More broadly,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 John B. Carlin , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

The statistical analysis of univariate quantiles is a well developed research topic. However, there is a need for research in multivariate quantiles. We construct bivariate (conditional) quantiles using the level curves of vine copula based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Marija Tepegjozova , Claudia Czado

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…