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We propose a flexible copula model to describe changes with a covariate in the dependence structure of (conditionally exchangeable) random variables. The starting point is a spline approximation to the generator of an Archimedean copula.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-01 Philippe Lambert

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used to recover the conditional independence structure among random variables. Recent work has sought to incorporate auxiliary covariates to improve estimation, particularly in applications such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Ruobin Liu , Guo Yu

We propose a new copula model that can be used with replicated spatial data. Unlike the multivariate normal copula, the proposed copula is based on the assumption that a common factor exists and affects the joint dependence of all…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-08 Pavel Krupskii , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

Vine copulas are a flexible way for modeling dependences using only pair-copulas as building blocks. However if the number of variables grows the problem gets fast intractable. For dealing with this problem Brechmann at al. proposed the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-05 Edith Kovács , Tamás Szántai

Multivariate regression model is a natural generalization of the classical univari- ate regression model for fitting multiple responses. In this paper, we propose a high- dimensional multivariate conditional regression model for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Junhui Wang

Climate models are essential for understanding large-scale climate dynamics and long-term climate change, yet they exhibit systematic biases when compared with historical observations. Existing multivariate bias correction (MBC) approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-09 Theresa Meier , Erwan Koch , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin , Thibault Vatter

Vine copulas are a useful statistical tool to describe the dependence structure between several random variables, especially when the number of variables is very large. When modeling data with vine copulas, one often is confronted with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-10 Matthias Killiches , Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

In this paper, we concentrate on new methodologies for copulas introduced and developed by Joe, Cooke, Bedford, Kurowica, Daneshkhah and others on the new class of graphical models called vines as a way of constructing higher dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-30 Alireza Daneshkhah , Golamali Parham , Omid Chatrabgoun , M. Jokar

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-14 Lee S. McDaniel , Jonathan S. Schildcrout , Enrique F. Schisterman , Paul J. Rathouz

The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil

We propose a vector generalized additive modeling framework for taking into account the effect of covariates on angular density functions in a multivariate extreme value context. The proposed methods are tailored for settings where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-28 Linda Mhalla , Miguel de Carvalho , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

High-dimensional linear and nonlinear models have been extensively used to identify associations between response and explanatory variables. The variable selection problem is commonly of interest in the presence of massive and complex data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-10 Vitara Pungpapong , Min Zhang , Dabao Zhang

Accurately estimating risk measures for financial portfolios is critical for both financial institutions and regulators. However, many existing models operate at the aggregate portfolio level and thus fail to capture the complex…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-10 Emanuel Sommer , Karoline Bax , Claudia Czado

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

Elevated levels of PM10 are known to cause severe respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, and, in extreme cases, cancer and mortality. Despite various reduction policies implemented across different sectors, PM10 concentrations in South…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Soyun Jeon , Jungsoon Choi

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Variable selection has become a pivotal choice in data analyses that impacts subsequent inference and prediction. In linear models, variable selection using Second-Generation P-Values (SGPV) has been shown to be as good as any other…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-22 Yi Zuo , Thomas G. Stewart , Jeffrey D. Blume