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Traffic flow forecasting is essential for managing congestion, improving safety, and optimizing various transportation systems. However, it remains a prevailing challenge due to the stochastic nature of urban traffic and environmental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

Message passing mechanism contributes to the success of GNNs in various applications, but also brings the oversquashing problem. Recent works combat oversquashing by improving the graph spectrums with rewiring techniques, disrupting the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Haiquan Qiu , Yatao Bian , Quanming Yao

Multivariate time series alignment is critical for ensuring coherent analysis across variables, but missing values and timestamp inconsistencies make this task highly challenging. Existing approaches often rely on prior imputation, which…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Ding Jia , Jingyu Zhu , Yu Sun , Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

Planning based on long and short term time series forecasts is a common practice across many industries. In this context, temporal aggregation and reconciliation techniques have been useful in improving forecasts, reducing model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have proven to be highly effective in various graph learning tasks. A key characteristic of GNNs is their use of a fixed number of message-passing steps for all nodes in the graph, regardless of each node's…

We propose a machine-learning-based methodology for in-situ weather forecast postprocessing that is both spatially coherent and multivariate. Compared to previous work, our Flow MAtching Postprocessing (FMAP) better represents the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-28 David Landry , Claire Monteleoni , Anastase Charantonis

Cross-temporal forecast reconciliation aims to ensure consistency across forecasts made at different temporal and cross-sectional levels. We explore the relationships between sequential, iterative, and optimal combination approaches, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

While deep learning models have achieved remarkable success in time series forecasting, their vulnerability to adversarial examples remains a critical security concern. However, existing attack methods in the forecasting field typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Ruixian Su , Yukun Bao , Xinze Zhang

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. However, the prevalence of missing data in real-world sensor networks significantly complicates this task. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Muhammad Bilal , Luis Carretero Lopez

This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-05-16 Mahesh S. Khadka , K. M. George , N. Park , J. B. Kim

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

Linearly constrained multiple time series may be encountered in many practical contexts, such as the National Accounts (e.g., GDP disaggregated by Income, Expenditure and Output), and multilevel frameworks where the variables are organized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-05 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

Hierarchical time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making in various domains while presenting significant challenges for modelling as they involve multiple levels of aggregation, constraints, and availability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Zhao Yingjie , Mahdi Abolghasemi

Retraining a model using its own predictions together with the original, potentially noisy labels is a well-known strategy for improving the model performance. While prior works have demonstrated the benefits of specific heuristic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Adel Javanmard , Rudrajit Das , Alessandro Epasto , Vahab Mirrokni

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

The realm of algorithms with predictions has led to the development of several new algorithms that leverage (potentially erroneous) predictions to enhance their performance guarantees. The challenge is to devise algorithms that achieve…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Riccardo Colini-Baldeschi , Sophie Klumper , Guido Schäfer , Artem Tsikiridis

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference is a fundamental computational paradigm for statistical inference. In the setting of graphical models, MAP inference entails solving a combinatorial optimization problem to find the most likely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Jonathan N. Lee , Aldo Pacchiano , Michael I. Jordan

Approximate Message Passing (AMP) has been shown to be a superior method for inference problems, such as the recovery of signals from sets of noisy, lower-dimensionality measurements, both in terms of reconstruction accuracy and in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-10 Andre Manoel , Florent Krzakala , Eric W. Tramel , Lenka Zdeborová

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

Despite recent advances in achieving fair representations and predictions through regularization, adversarial debiasing, and contrastive learning in graph neural networks (GNNs), the working mechanism (i.e., message passing) behind GNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Zhimeng Jiang , Xiaotian Han , Chao Fan , Zirui Liu , Na Zou , Ali Mostafavi , Xia Hu