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In the probabilistic energy forecasting literature, emphasis is mainly placed on deriving marginal predictive densities for which each random variable is dealt with individually. Such marginals description is sufficient for power systems…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

Volt-VAR and Volt-Watt functionality in photovoltaic (PV) smart inverters provide mechanisms to ensure system voltage magnitudes and power factors remain within acceptable limits. However, these control functions can become unstable,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-02 Daniel Arnold , Shammya Saha , Sy-Toan Ngo , Ciaran Roberts , Anna Scaglione , Nathan Johnson , Sean Peisert , David Pinney

Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-09 Qintao Du , Ran Li , Weiyi Lv , Huan Zhou , Moduo Yu , Jianzhe Liu

The uncertainty in distribution grid planning is driven by the unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in adopting electric vehicles (EVs) and solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This complexity, stemming from interactions among EVs, PV…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-20 Shiva Poudel , Poorva Sharma , Abhineet Parchure , Daniel Olsen , Sayantan Bhowmik , Tonya Martin , Dylan Locsin , Andrew P. Reiman

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital across various domains but remains challenging due to the need to simultaneously model temporal and inter-variate dependencies. Existing channel-dependent models, where Transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Junwoo Ha , Hyukjae Kwon , Sungsoo Kim , Kisu Lee , Seungjae Park , Ha Young Kim

Quantifying the impact of inverter-based distributed generation (DG) sources on power-flow distribution system cases is arduous. Existing distribution system tools predominately model distributed generation sources as either negative PQ…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-12 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Transformer-based models have significantly advanced time series forecasting. Recent work, like the Cross-Attention-only Time Series transformer (CATS), shows that removing self-attention can make the model more accurate and efficient.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-08 Jiajun Song , Xiaoou Liu

Accurate ultra-short-term wind power forecasting is critical for grid dispatch and reserve management, yet remains challenging due to the non-stationary, condition-dependent nature of wind generation. Meteorological exogenous variables…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Cao Yuan , Junjun Wang

Optimal Volt/VAR control (VVC) in distribution networks relies on an effective coordination between the conventional utility-owned mechanical devices and the smart residential photovoltaic (PV) inverters. Typically, a central controller…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-17 Yao Long , Daniel S. Kirschen

We propose a novel Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network empowered trend analysis approach (ST-GTrend) to perform fleet-level performance degradation analysis for Photovoltaic (PV) power networks. PV power stations have become an integral…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Yangxin Fan , Raymond Wieser , Laura Bruckman , Roger French , Yinghui Wu

The expansion of renewable energy could help realizing the goals of peaking carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutralization. Some existing grid dispatching methods integrating short-term renewable energy prediction and reinforcement…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Xinhang Li , Zihao Li , Nan Yang , Zheng Yuan , Qinwen Wang , Yiying Yang , Yupeng Huang , Xuri Song , Lei Li , Lin Zhang

With the proliferation of electric vehicles (EVs), accurate charging demand and station occupancy forecasting are critical for optimizing urban energy and the profit of EVs aggregator. Existing approaches in this field usually struggle to…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Hang Fan , Yunze Chai , Chenxi Liu , Weican Liu , Zuhan Zhang , Wencai Run , Dunnan Liu

Future surveys such as the Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory will observe an order of magnitude more astrophysical transient events than any previous survey before. With this deluge of photometric data,…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Tarek Allam , Jason D. McEwen

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Transformer-based models are at the forefront in long time-series forecasting (LTSF). While in many cases, these models are able to achieve state of the art results, they suffer from a bias toward low-frequencies in the data and high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Elisha Dayag , Nhat Thanh Van Tran , Jack Xin

The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Yong Liu , Tengge Hu , Haoran Zhang , Haixu Wu , Shiyu Wang , Lintao Ma , Mingsheng Long

Weather is one of the main problems in implementing forecasts for photovoltaic panel systems. Since it is the main generator of disturbances and interruptions in electrical energy. It is necessary to choose a reliable forecasting model for…

Multilevel inverters are used to improve powerquality and reduce component stresses. This paper describesand compares two multilevel cascaded three phase inverterimplementations with two different modulation techniques: PhaseShifted Pulse…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-28 John Buczek , Viktor Ivankevych

Determination of the device performance parameters of perovskite solar cells is far from trivial as transient effects may cause large discrepancies in current-voltage measurements as a function of scan rate and pre-conditioning. Maximum…

Power transformers are subjected to electrical currents and temperature fluctuations that, if not properly controlled, can lead to major deterioration of their insulation system. Therefore, monitoring the temperature of a power transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Francis Tembo , Federica Bragone , Tor Laneryd , Matthieu Barreau , Kateryna Morozovska