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This paper introduces a new approach for Multivariate Time Series forecasting that jointly infers and leverages relations among time series. Its modularity allows it to be integrated with current univariate methods. Our approach allows to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-08 Victor Garcia Satorras , Syama Sundar Rangapuram , Tim Januschowski

Inference-time scaling (ITS) in latent reasoning models typically relies on heuristic perturbations, such as dropout or fixed Gaussian noise, to generate diverse candidate trajectories. However, we show that stronger perturbations do not…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Minghan Wang , Ye Bai , Thuy-Trang Vu , Ehsan Shareghi , Gholamreza Haffari

Dynamic and evolving operational and economic environments present significant challenges for decision-making. We explore a simulation optimization problem characterized by non-stationary input distributions with regime-switching dynamics…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-19 Jianglin Xia , Haowei Wang , Songhao Wang , Szu Hui Ng

We study parameter inference in large-scale latent variable models. We first propose an unified treatment of online inference for latent variable models from a non-canonical exponential family, and draw explicit links between several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-01 Christophe Dupuy , Francis Bach

There has been substantial progress in the inference of formal behavioural specifications from sample trajectories, for example, using Linear Temporal Logic (LTL). However, these techniques cannot handle specifications that correctly…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Rajarshi Roy , Yash Pote , David Parker , Marta Kwiatkowska

Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-05 Sahil Garg

Throughput Prediction is one of the primary preconditions for the uninterrupted operation of several network-aware mobile applications, namely video streaming. Recent works have advocated using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL)…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Mayukh Biswas , Ayan Chakraborty , Basabdatta Palit

We study a sampling and transmission scheduling problem for multi-source remote estimation, where a scheduler determines when to take samples from multiple continuous-time Gauss-Markov processes and send the samples over multiple channels…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Tasmeen Zaman Ornee , Yin Sun

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

Understanding the process by which a contagion disseminates throughout a network is of great importance in many real world applications. The required sophistication of the inference approach depends on the type of information we want to…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-05-26 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

We present a scheme by which a probabilistic forecasting system whose predictions have poor probabilistic calibration may be recalibrated by incorporating past performance information to produce a new forecasting system that is demonstrably…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-08 Carlo Graziani , Robert Rosner , Jennifer M. Adams , Reason L. Machete

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

The machine learning literature contains several constructions for prediction intervals that are intuitively reasonable but ultimately ad-hoc in that they do not come with provable performance guarantees. We present methods from the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Danijel Kivaranovic , Kory D. Johnson , Hannes Leeb

We investigate the problem of stochastic network optimization in the presence of imperfect state prediction and non-stationarity. Based on a novel distribution-accuracy curve prediction model, we develop the predictive learning-aided…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-07-09 Longbo Huang , Minghua Chen , Yunxin Liu

Large language models (LLMs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy on complex reasoning tasks by generating multiple chain-of-thought (CoT) traces, but using a fixed token budget per query leads to over-computation on easy inputs and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Katrina Brown , Aneesh Muppidi , Rana Shahout

We propose a streaming algorithm for the binary classification of data based on crowdsourcing. The algorithm learns the competence of each labeller by comparing her labels to those of other labellers on the same tasks and uses this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-24 Thomas Bonald , Richard Combes

Metric Temporal Logic (MTL) is a popular formalism to specify temporal patterns with timing constraints over the behavior of cyber-physical systems with application areas ranging in property-based testing, robotics, optimization, and…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Dogan Ulus

We introduce OFTER, a time series forecasting pipeline tailored for mid-sized multivariate time series. OFTER utilizes the non-parametric models of k-nearest neighbors and Generalized Regression Neural Networks, integrated with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Nikolas Michael , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison

AI research often emphasizes model design and algorithmic performance, while deployment and inference remain comparatively underexplored despite being critical for real-world use. This study addresses that gap by investigating the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Hung Cuong Pham , Fatih Gedikli

Clinical trial outcome prediction seeks to estimate the likelihood that a clinical trial will successfully reach its intended endpoint. This process predominantly involves the development of machine learning models that utilize a variety of…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2024-05-14 Chufan Gao , Tianfan Fu , Jimeng Sun
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