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We introduce the Group-R2 decomposition prior, a hierarchical shrinkage prior that extends R2-based priors to structured regression settings with known groups of predictors. By decomposing the prior distribution of the coefficient of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Javier Enrique Aguilar , David Kohns , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

The training of high-dimensional regression models on comparably sparse data is an important yet complicated topic, especially when there are many more model parameters than observations in the data. From a Bayesian perspective, inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-03 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Shrinkage priors are a popular Bayesian paradigm to handle sparsity in high-dimensional regression. Still limited, however, is a flexible class of shrinkage priors to handle grouped sparsity, where covariates exhibit some natural grouping…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Eric Yanchenko , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The adoption of continuous shrinkage priors in high-dimensional linear models has gained widespread attention due to their practical and theoretical advantages. Among them, the R2D2 prior has gained popularity for its intuitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Modern approaches to perform Bayesian variable selection rely mostly on the use of shrinkage priors. That said, an ideal shrinkage prior should be adaptive to different signal levels, ensuring that small effects are ruled out, while keeping…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

Large Bayesian VARs are now widely used in empirical macroeconomics. One popular shrinkage prior in this setting is the natural conjugate prior as it facilitates posterior simulation and leads to a range of useful analytical results. This…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-16 Joshua C. C. Chan

In Bayesian analysis, the selection of a prior distribution is typically done by considering each parameter in the model. While this can be convenient, in many scenarios it may be desirable to place a prior on a summary measure of the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Eric Yanchenko , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

We propose a flexible class of models based on scale mixture of uniform distributions to construct shrinkage priors for covariance matrix estimation. This new class of priors enjoys a number of advantages over the traditional scale mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-10-07 Hao Wang , Natesh S. Pillai

This paper develops a slice sampler for Bayesian linear regression models with arbitrary priors. The new sampler has two advantages over current approaches. One, it is faster than many custom implementations that rely on auxiliary latent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-18 P. Richard Hahn , Jingyu He , Hedibert Lopes

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

In high dimensional regression, global local shrinkage priors have gained significant traction for their ability to yield sparse estimates, improve parameter recovery, and support accurate predictive modeling. While recent work has explored…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-19 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for sparse Gaussian graphical modeling of multivariate time series. We account for temporal correlation in the data by assuming that observations are characterized by an underlying and unobserved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Aaron M. Bornstein , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

We propose a generalized double Pareto prior for Bayesian shrinkage estimation and inferences in linear models. The prior can be obtained via a scale mixture of Laplace or normal distributions, forming a bridge between the Laplace and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Artin Armagan , David Dunson , Jaeyong Lee

Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models but, at the same time, introduce the restriction that each equation features the same set of explanatory variables. This paper proposes a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-27 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Luca Onorante

We present a novel Bayesian framework to decompose the posterior predictive variance in a fitted Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM) into explained and unexplained components. This decomposition enables a rigorous definition of Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-21 Abdollah Jalilian , Aki Vehtari , Luigi Sedda

Prior choice can strongly influence Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA (B-DARMA) inference for compositional time-series. Using simulations with (i) correct lag order, (ii) overfitting, and (iii) underfitting, we assess five priors:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-08 Harrison Katz , Liz Medina , Robert E. Weiss

Amortized simulator-based inference offers a powerful framework for tackling Bayesian inference in computational fields such as engineering or neuroscience, increasingly leveraging modern generative methods like diffusion models to map…

We introduce a new empirical Bayes approach for large-scale multiple linear regression. Our approach combines two key ideas: (i) the use of flexible "adaptive shrinkage" priors, which approximate the nonparametric family of scale mixture of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-13 Youngseok Kim , Wei Wang , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens
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