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Characterizing uncertainty is a common issue in nuclear measurement and has important implications for reliable physical discovery. Traditional methods are either insufficient to cope with the heterogeneous nature of uncertainty or…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-03-01 Pengcheng Ai , Zhi Deng , Yi Wang , Chendi Shen

Understanding how large language models (LLMs) internally represent and process their predictions is central to detecting uncertainty and preventing hallucinations. While several studies have shown that models encode uncertainty in their…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Sunwoo Kim , Haneul Yoo , Alice Oh

The problem of feature selection has raised considerable interests in the past decade. Traditional unsupervised methods select the features which can faithfully preserve the intrinsic structures of data, where the intrinsic structures are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-04-06 Liang Du , Yi-Dong Shen

The ability to identify useful features or representations of the input data based on training data that achieves low prediction error on test data across multiple prediction tasks is considered the key to multitask learning success. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Soumya Mukherjee , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

Uncertainty estimation is a key component in any deployed machine learning system. One way to evaluate uncertainty estimation is using "out-of-distribution" (OoD) detection, that is, distinguishing between the training data distribution and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Haiwen Huang , Joost van Amersfoort , Yarin Gal

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Learning with label proportions (LLP), which is a learning task that only provides unlabeled data in bags and each bag's label proportion, has widespread successful applications in practice. However, most of the existing LLP methods don't…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-20 Yanshan Xiao , HuaiPei Wang , Bo Liu

Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

Uncertainty estimation methods are expected to improve the understanding and quality of computer-assisted methods used in medical applications (e.g., neurosurgical interventions, radiotherapy planning), where automated medical image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-08 Alain Jungo , Raphael Meier , Ekin Ermis , Marcela Blatti-Moreno , Evelyn Herrmann , Roland Wiest , Mauricio Reyes

The importance of uncertainty quantification is increasingly recognized in the diverse field of machine learning. Accurately assessing model prediction uncertainty can help provide deeper understanding and confidence for researchers and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Tianyi Chen , Yingzhou Lu , Nan Hao , Yuanyuan Zhang , Capucine Van Rechem , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Techniques for understanding the functioning of complex machine learning models are becoming increasingly popular, not only to improve the validation process, but also to extract new insights about the data via exploratory analysis. Though…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-02 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Irene Kim , Rushil Anirudh , Peer-Timo Bremer

Machine learning models have achieved widespread success but often inherit and amplify historical biases, resulting in unfair outcomes. Traditional fairness methods typically impose constraints at the prediction level, without addressing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Enze Shi , Pankaj Bhagwat , Zhixian Yang , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

Accurate uncertainty estimation is a critical need for the medical imaging community. A variety of methods have been proposed, all direct extensions of classification uncertainty estimations techniques. The independent pixel-wise…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-16 Thierry Judge , Olivier Bernard , Mihaela Porumb , Agis Chartsias , Arian Beqiri , Pierre-Marc Jodoin

Predictions are the currency of a machine learning model, and to understand the model's behavior over segments of a dataset, or over time, is an important problem in machine learning research and practice. There currently is no systematic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Aalok Shanbhag , Avijit Ghosh , Josh Rubin

Robust waypoint prediction is crucial for mobile robots operating in open-world, safety-critical settings. While Imitation Learning (IL) methods have demonstrated great success in practice, they are susceptible to distribution shifts: the…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important to machine learning (ML) force fields to assess the level of confidence during prediction, as ML models are not inherently physical and can therefore yield catastrophically incorrect predictions.…

化学物理 · 物理学 2022-11-22 Yuge Hu , Joseph Musielewicz , Zachary Ulissi , Andrew J. Medford

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

Many traffic prediction applications rely on uncertainty estimates instead of the mean prediction. Statistical traffic prediction literature has a complete subfield devoted to uncertainty modelling, but recent deep learning traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Tijs Maas , Peter Bloem

In this paper, we approach the problem of uncertainty quantification in deep learning through a predictive framework, which captures uncertainty in model parameters by specifying our assumptions about the predictive distribution of unseen…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-20 Luhuan Wu , Sinead Williamson

Machine-learning (ML) interatomic potentials (IPs) trained on first-principles datasets are becoming increasingly popular since they promise to treat larger system sizes and longer time scales, compared to the {\em ab initio} techniques…