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Confounding seriously impairs our ability to learn about causal relations from observational data. Confounding can be defined as a statistical association between two variables due to inputs from a common source (the confounder). For…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-17 Anders Ledberg

Identifying effects of actions (treatments) on outcome variables from observational data and causal assumptions is a fundamental problem in causal inference. This identification is made difficult by the presence of confounders which can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Ilya Shpitser , Tyler VanderWeele , James M. Robins

Inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in an observational study requires adjusting for observed baseline confounders to avoid bias. However, adjusting for all observed baseline covariates, when only a subset are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Stijn Vansteelandt

Experimental and observational studies often lead to spurious association between the outcome and independent variables describing the intervention, because of confounding to third-party factors. Even in randomized clinical trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-04 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William H. Press

Control variables are included in regression analyses to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome. In this paper, we argue that the estimated effect sizes of controls are unlikely to have a causal interpretation themselves,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-10 Paul Hünermund , Beyers Louw

Drawing causal inference with observational studies is the central pillar of many disciplines. One sufficient condition for identifying the causal effect is that the treatment-outcome relationship is unconfounded conditional on the observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Peng Ding , Tyler VanderWeele , James Robins

For obtaining causal inferences that are objective, and therefore have the best chance of revealing scientific truths, carefully designed and executed randomized experiments are generally considered to be the gold standard. Observational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-11-12 Donald B. Rubin

The goal of a well-controlled study is to remove unwanted variation when estimating the causal effect of the intervention of interest. Experiments conducted in the basic sciences frequently achieve this goal using experimental controls,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Kristen B. Hunter , Kristen Koenig , Marie-Abèle Bind

In observational studies, the causal effect of a treatment may be confounded with variables that are related to both the treatment and the outcome of interest. In order to identify a causal effect, such studies often rely on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-17 Emma Persson , Jenny Häggström , Ingeborg Waernbaum , Xavier de Luna

This paper studies inference on treatment effects in panel data settings with unobserved confounding. We model outcome variables through a factor model with random factors and loadings. Such factors and loadings may act as unobserved…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-05 Guido W. Imbens , Davide Viviano

One obstacle to ``elevating" correlation to causation is the phenomenon of confounding, i.e., when a correlation between two variables exists because both variables are in fact caused by a third variable. The situation where the confounders…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Caren Marzban , Yikun Zhang , Nicholas Bond , Michael Richman

In observational studies, treatment may be adapted to covariates at several times without a fixed protocol, in continuous time. Treatment influences covariates, which influence treatment, which influences covariates, and so on. Then even…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

Conditioning on some set of confounders that causally affect both treatment and outcome variables can be sufficient for eliminating bias introduced by all such confounders when estimating causal effect of the treatment on the outcome from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

A fundamental problem in statistics is to compare the outcomes attained by members of subpopulations. This problem arises in the analysis of randomized controlled trials, in the analysis of A/B tests, and in the assessment of fairness and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-02 Mark Tygert

Many applications of computational social science aim to infer causal conclusions from non-experimental data. Such observational data often contains confounders, variables that influence both potential causes and potential effects.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-05-05 Katherine A. Keith , David Jensen , Brendan O'Connor

As statistical classifiers become integrated into real-world applications, it is important to consider not only their accuracy but also their robustness to changes in the data distribution. In this paper, we consider the case where there is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-01-12 Virgile Landeiro , Aron Culotta

When constructing a model to estimate the causal effect of a treatment, it is necessary to control for other factors which may have confounding effects. Because the ignorability assumption is not testable, however, it is usually unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jared S. Murray

The principal stratification has become a popular tool to address a broad class of causal inference questions, particularly in dealing with non-compliance and truncation-by-death problems. The causal effects within principal strata which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Shanshan Luo , Wei Li , Wang Miao , Yangbo He
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