中文
相关论文

相关论文: Some variation of COBRA in sequential learning set…

200 篇论文

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Time series prediction covers a vast field of every-day statistical applications in medical, environmental and economic domains. In this paper we develop nonparametric prediction strategies based on the combination of a set of 'experts' and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-01-03 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , László Györfi , György Ottucsák

In many data-driven applications, collecting data from different sources is increasingly desirable for enhancing performance. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of probabilistic forecasting with multi-source time series. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Tian Guo

Recently Goswami et al. \cite{goswami2022concordance} introduced two novel implementations of combined regression strategy to find the conditional survival function. The paper uses regression-based weak learners and provides an alternative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-28 Rahul Goswami , Arabin Kumar Dey

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Linearly constrained multiple time series may be encountered in many practical contexts, such as the National Accounts (e.g., GDP disaggregated by Income, Expenditure and Output), and multilevel frameworks where the variables are organized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-05 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

We propose a novel approach for time series forecasting with many predictors, referred to as the GO-sdPCA, in this paper. The approach employs a variable selection method known as the group orthogonal greedy algorithm and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-17 Shuo-Chieh Huang , Ruey S. Tsay

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Many existing approaches for generating predictions in settings with distribution shift model distribution shifts as adversarial or low-rank in suitable representations. In various real-world settings, however, we might expect shifts to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

This paper discusses several modern approaches to regression analysis involving time series data where some of the predictor variables are also indexed by time. We discuss classical statistical approaches as well as methods that have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-02 Stephanie Clark , Rob J Hyndman , Dan Pagendam , Louise M Ryan

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson