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Subtle alterations in brain network topology often evade detection by traditional statistical methods. To address this limitation, we introduce a Bayesian inference framework for topological comparison of brain networks that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Xukun Zhu , Michael W Lutz , Tananun Songdechakraiwut

This paper investigates the use of probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) to model aleatoric uncertainty, which refers to the inherent variability in the input-output relationships of a system, often characterized by unequal variance or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Scott E. Stapleton

Mechanistic models of single-neuron dynamics have been extensively studied in computational neuroscience. However, identifying which models can quantitatively reproduce empirically measured data has been challenging. We propose to overcome…

Partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs) have been shown to perform competitively with fully Bayesian neural networks while only having a subset of the parameters be stochastic. Using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers as the inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell , Zheng Zhao

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Bayesian networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models for describing complex joint probability distributions. The main problem for BNs is inference: Determine the probability of an event given observed evidence. Since exact inference…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2018-03-01 Kevin Batz , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Christoph Matheja

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) provide a powerful framework that elegantly integrates Graph theory with Machine learning for modeling and analysis of networked data. We consider the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in predictions of GNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-23 Sai Munikoti , Deepesh Agarwal , Laya Das , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Recently, combinations of generative and Bayesian machine learning have been introduced in particle physics for both fast detector simulation and inference tasks. These neural networks aim to quantify the uncertainty on the generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Sebastian Bieringer , Sascha Diefenbacher , Gregor Kasieczka , Mathias Trabs

A novel method to propagate uncertainty through the soft-thresholding nonlinearity is proposed in this paper. At every layer the current distribution of the target vector is represented as a spike and slab distribution, which represents the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-03 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

As machine learning systems get widely adopted for high-stake decisions, quantifying uncertainty over predictions becomes crucial. While modern neural networks are making remarkable gains in terms of predictive accuracy, characterizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-14 Melanie F. Pradier , Weiwei Pan , Jiayu Yao , Soumya Ghosh , Finale Doshi-velez

Neural networks with binary weights are computation-efficient and hardware-friendly, but their training is challenging because it involves a discrete optimization problem. Surprisingly, ignoring the discrete nature of the problem and using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Xiangming Meng , Roman Bachmann , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Macroeconomic data is characterized by a limited number of observations (small T), many time series (big K) but also by featuring temporal dependence. Neural networks, by contrast, are designed for datasets with millions of observations and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-04 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Karin Klieber , Massimiliano Marcellino

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-07 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

While offering a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, the employment of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) is still constrained by their increased computational requirements and the convergence difficulties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Moule Lin , Shuhao Guan , Weipeng Jing , Goetz Botterweck , Andrea Patane

We introduce a new method for learning Bayesian neural networks, treating them as a stack of multivariate Bayesian linear regression models. The main idea is to infer the layerwise posterior exactly if we know the target outputs of each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Richard Kurle , Alexej Klushyn , Ralf Herbrich

Machine learning models perform well across domains such as diagnostics, weather forecasting, NLP, and autonomous driving, but their limited uncertainty handling restricts use in safety-critical settings. Traditional neural networks often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Bernhard Klein , Falk Selker , Hendrik Borras , Sophie Steger , Franz Pernkopf , Holger Fröning

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution over model parameters and inferring a posterior distribution based on observed data. The model sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-15 Van-Anh Nguyen , Tung-Long Vuong , Hoang Phan , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the inference network is particularly prone to overfitting, and…

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek