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In this work, we explore constraints on the emergence and longevity of technologically intelligent civilizations in our Galaxy, considering the Fermi paradox. We argue that under optimistic assumptions about the probability of life and…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-27 Sohrab Rahvar , Shahin Rouhani

Where is everybody? This phrase distills the foreboding of what has come to be known as the Fermi Paradox - the disquieting idea that, if extraterrestrial life is probable in the Universe, then why have we not encountered it? This conundrum…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Mark M. Bailey

Our Universe is a vast, tantalizing enigma - a mystery that has aroused humankind's innate curiosity for eons. Begging questions on alien lifeforms have been thus far unfruitful, even with the bounding advancements we have embarked upon in…

科普物理 · 物理学 2023-02-20 Jonathan H. Jiang , Philip E. Rosen , Kelly Lu , Kristen A. Fahy , Piotr Obacz

The search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) has historically focused on detecting electromagnetic technosignatures, implicitly assuming that alien civilisations are biological and technologically analogous to ourselves. This paper…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-09-30 Michael Garrett

The Great Filter hypothesis is an extension of the Fermi Paradox: "If life is so common in the universe, why don't we see it?" The Great Filter theory posits there are multiple obstacles or filters life must pass through which ultimately…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-02-10 Darren J. Dougan

The discussion about the disruptive possibilities of a technology called artificial intelligence (AI) is on everyone's lips. Companies and countries alike are running multi-billion-dollar research programmes to ensure they do not miss out…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Rainer Rehak

The steady advances in computer performance and in programming raise the concern that the ability of computers would overtake that of the human brain, an occurrence termed "the Singularity". While comparing the size of the human brain and…

科普物理 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Joe Gale , Amri Wandel , Hugh Hill

The number of people able to end Earth's technical civilization has heretofore been small. Emerging dual-use technologies, such as biotechnology, may give similar power to thousands or millions of individuals. To quantitatively investigate…

科普物理 · 物理学 2019-08-15 John G. Sotos

The artificial intelligence industry is not an isolated economic phenomenon; it is the current physical substrate for a broader, multi-billion-year process: the evolution of an abstract intelligence on Earth. As the scale of computation…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-29 William Yicheng Zhu , Lei Zhu

The complexity of cultures in the modern world is now beyond human comprehension. Cognitive sciences cast doubts on the traditional explanations based on mental models. The core subjects in humanities may lose their importance. Humanities…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Włodzisław Duch

It is well-known that the chances of success of SETI depend on the longevity of technological civilizations or, more broadly, on the duration of the signs of their existence, or technosignatures. Here, we re-examine this general tenet in…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Amedeo Balbi , Milan M. Ćirković

Dramatic advances in artificial intelligence over the past decade (for narrow-purpose AI) and the last several years (for general-purpose AI) have transformed AI from a niche academic field to the core business strategy of many of the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-03-10 Anthony Aguirre

AI technology has a long history which is actively and constantly changing and growing. It focuses on intelligent agents, which contain devices that perceive the environment and based on which takes actions in order to maximize goal success…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-05 Jahanzaib Shabbir , Tarique Anwer

The intuition suggested by the Drake equation implies that technology should be less prevalent than biology in the galaxy. However, it has been appreciated for decades in the SETI community that technosignatures could be more abundant,…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-22 Jason T. Wright , Jacob Haqq-Misra , Adam Frank , Ravi Kopparapu , Manasvi Lingam , Sofia Z. Sheikh

This article analyzes the existential risks artificial intelligence (AI) poses to humanity, tracing the trajectory from current AI to ultraintelligence. Drawing on Irving J. Good and Nick Bostrom's theoretical work, plus recent publications…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Mohamed El Louadi , Emna Ben Romdhane

Artificial general intelligence (AGI) does not yet exist, but given the pace of technological development in artificial intelligence, it is projected to reach human-level intelligence within roughly the next two decades. After that, many…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 David R. Mandel

The Drake equation has been used many times to estimate the number of observable civilizations in the Galaxy. However, the uncertainty of the outcome is so great that any individual result is of limited use, as predictions can range from a…

科普物理 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Alex De Visscher

Superhuman artificial general intelligence could be created this century and would likely be a significant source of existential risk. Delaying the creation of superintelligent AI (ASI) could decrease total existential risk by increasing…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Stephen McAleese

Invention of artificial general intelligence is predicted to cause a shift in the trajectory of human civilization. In order to reap the benefits and avoid pitfalls of such powerful technology it is important to be able to control it.…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Roman V. Yampolskiy

The Technological Singularity; that is, the possibility of achieving a General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) that surpasses human intelligence, is one of the vital paradigms of today's humanity. However, until now only opinions about its…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-07-10 Juan A. Lara , David Lizcano , María A. Martínez , Juan Pazos
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