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Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational inference (VI) offers a scalable alternative and often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Laura Battaglia , Stefano Cortinovis , Chris Holmes , David T. Frazier , Jack Jewson

Sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design (SBOED) for PDE-governed inverse problems is computationally challenging, especially for infinite-dimensional random field parameters. High-fidelity approaches require repeated forward and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-12 Kaichen Shen , Peng Chen

We extend variational autoencoders (VAEs) to collaborative filtering for implicit feedback. This non-linear probabilistic model enables us to go beyond the limited modeling capacity of linear factor models which still largely dominate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Dawen Liang , Rahul G. Krishnan , Matthew D. Hoffman , Tony Jebara

We present a flexible method for computing Bayesian optimal experimental designs (BOEDs) for inverse problems with intractable posteriors. The approach is applicable to a wide range of BOED problems and can accommodate various optimality…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Karina Koval , Roland Herzog , Robert Scheichl

Deep Learning research is advancing at a fantastic rate, and there is much to gain from transferring this knowledge to older fields like Computational Fluid Dynamics in practical engineering contexts. This work compares state-of-the-art…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-10-01 Pierre Jacquier , Azzedine Abdedou , Vincent Delmas , Azzeddine Soulaimani

The Bayesian Optimisation Algorithm (BOA) is an Estimation of Distribution Algorithm (EDA) that uses a Bayesian network as probabilistic graphical model (PGM). Determining the optimal Bayesian network structure given a solution sample is an…

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

We consider goal-oriented optimal design of experiments for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). Specifically, we seek sensor placements that minimize the posterior…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-13 J. Nicholas Neuberger , Alen Alexanderian , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a principled framework for data-efficient design of sequential experiments. However, existing BED methods are unable to adapt to dynamic constraints inherent in real-world tasks due to budget…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yujia Guo , Daolang Huang , Xinyu Zhang , Sammie Katt , Samuel Kaski , Ayush Bharti

The main challenge in Bayesian models is to determine the posterior for the model parameters. Already, in models with only one or few parameters, the analytical posterior can only be determined in special settings. In Bayesian neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-02 Sefan Hörtling , Daniel Dold , Oliver Dürr , Beate Sick

We consider infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) and develop a mathematical and computational framework for optimal design of mobile sensor paths in this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-22 J. Nicholas Neuberger , Alen Alexanderian , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Ahmed Attia

In order to predict future performance of subsurface fluid reservoirs under possible operating scenarios, a dynamic, porous-medium flow simulation model must be tuned to include representative properties of the reservoir. Estimating…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-02-04 Zhen Zhang , Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental settings that maximize obtained information. In this work, we focus on estimating the expected information gain in the setting where the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Chuntao Chen , Tapio Helin , Nuutti Hyvönen , Yuya Suzuki

Recently, Neural Ordinary Differential Equations has emerged as a powerful framework for modeling physical simulations without explicitly defining the ODEs governing the system, but instead learning them via machine learning. However, the…

Deep neural networks have been successful in diverse discriminative classification tasks, although, they are poorly calibrated often assigning high probability to misclassified predictions. Potential consequences could lead to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-06 John Mitros , Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

This paper introduces variational design methods that are novel to Geophysics, and discusses their benefits and limitations in the context of geophysical applications and more established design methods. Variational methods rely on…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-01-24 Dominik Strutz , Andrew Curtis

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Training deep generative models with maximum likelihood remains a challenge. The typical workaround is to use variational inference (VI) and maximize a lower bound to the log marginal likelihood of the data. Variational auto-encoders (VAEs)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Adji B. Dieng , John Paisley

This paper introduces the Inside-Out Nested Particle Filter (IO-NPF), a novel, fully recursive, algorithm for amortized sequential Bayesian experimental design in the non-exchangeable setting. We frame policy optimization as maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-02 Sahel Iqbal , Hany Abdulsamad , Sara Pérez-Vieites , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos