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In large observational studies, the case-cohort design is commonly used to reduce the cost associated with covariate measurement. For survival outcomes, literature has suggested that the restricted mean survival time (RMST) be a more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Andy Ni , Wei-En Lu , Bo Lu

The spatial scan statistic is widely used to detect disease clusters in epidemiological surveillance. Since the seminal work by~\cite{kulldorff1997}, numerous extensions have emerged, including methods for defining scan regions, detecting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Takayuki Kawashima , Daisuke Yoneoka , Yuta Tanoue , Akifumi Eguchi , Shuhei Nomura

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

Small-area mortality estimation is inherently difficult, as random fluctuations from low death counts can obscure real geographic differences. We introduce a flexible model that borrows strength across age, space, and time to estimate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Jacob Martin , Carlo Giovanni Camarda

Extreme events with potential deadly outcomes, such as those organized by terror groups, are highly unpredictable in nature and an imminent threat to society. In particular, quantifying the likelihood of a terror attack occurring in an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Lekha Patel , Lyndsay Shand , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

Infectious diseases usually originate from a specific location within a city. Due to the heterogenous distribution of population and public facilities, and the structural heterogeneity of human mobility network embedded in space, infectious…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-25 Kang Liu , Ling Yin , Jianzhang Xue

Within-individual variability of health indicators measured over time is becoming commonly used to inform about disease progression. Simple summary statistics (e.g. the standard deviation for each individual) are often used but they are not…

Time series data arising in many applications nowadays are high-dimensional. A large number of parameters describe features of these time series. We propose a novel approach to modeling a high-dimensional time series through several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-22 Arkaprava Roy , Anindya Roy , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper studies the problem of robustly learning the correlation function for a univariate time series with the presence of noise, outliers and missing entries. The outliers or anomalies considered here are sparse and rare events that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Triet M. Le

We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2017-10-09 Daniel B. Neill , William Herlands

In the presence of unmeasured spatial confounding, spatial models may actually increase (rather than decrease) bias, leading to uncertainty as to how they should be applied in practice. We evaluated spatial modeling approaches through…

The movement of atmospheric air masses can be seen as a continuous and complex flow of particles hovering over our planet. It can however be locally simplified by considering three-dimensional trajectories of air masses connecting distant…

Our recent experience with the COVID-19 pandemic amply shows that spatial effects like the mobility of agents and average interpersonal distance, together with the adaptation of agents, are very important in deciding the outcome of epidemic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-13 Akhil Panicker , V Sasidevan

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-21 Xueqing Yin , John M. Aiken , Richard Harris , Jonathan L. Bamber

Many computer vision tasks involve processing large amounts of data contaminated by outliers, which need to be detected and rejected. While outlier detection methods based on robust statistics have existed for decades, only recently have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-04-14 Chong You , Daniel P. Robinson , René Vidal

The spread of PM2.5 pollutants that endanger health is difficult to predict because it involves many atmospheric variables. These micron particles can spread rapidly from their source to residential areas, increasing the risk of respiratory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Hsing-Chung Chen , Karisma Trinanda Putra , Jerry Chun-WeiLin

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

Modern disease mapping draws upon a wealth of high resolution spatial data products reflecting environmental and/or socioeconomic factors as covariates, or `features', within a geostatistical framework to improve predictions of disease…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-16 Rohan Arambepola , Peter Gething , Ewan Cameron

Identifying objective neuroimaging biomarkers to forecast Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is crucial for timely intervention. However, this task remains challenging due to the complex dysfunctions in the spatio-temporal characteristics…

The last two decades have seen intense scientific and regulatory interest in the health effects of particulate matter (PM). Influential epidemiological studies that characterize chronic exposure of individuals rely on monitoring data that…