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Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Explainability of black-box machine learning models is crucial, in particular when deployed in critical applications such as medicine or autonomous cars. Existing approaches produce explanations for the predictions of models, however, how…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-18 Jonas Schulz , Rafael Poyiadzi , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Score-based explainable machine-learning techniques are often used to understand the logic behind black-box models. However, such explanation techniques are often computationally expensive, which limits their application in time-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-24 Amr Alkhatib , Henrik Boström , Sofiane Ennadir , Ulf Johansson

Local surrogate approaches for explaining machine learning model predictions have appealing properties, such as being model-agnostic and flexible in their modelling. Several methods exist that fit this description and share this goal.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Rafael Poyiadzi , Xavier Renard , Thibault Laugel , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Marcin Detyniecki

Understanding the behavior of learned classifiers is an important task, and various black-box explanations, logical reasoning approaches, and model-specific methods have been proposed. In this paper, we introduce probabilistic sufficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-24 Eric Wang , Pasha Khosravi , Guy Van den Broeck

Feature attribution methods explain black-box machine learning (ML) models by assigning importance scores to input features. These methods can be computationally expensive for large ML models. To address this challenge, there has been…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Lucas Monteiro Paes , Dennis Wei , Flavio P. Calmon

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Interpretable machine learning offers insights into what factors drive a certain prediction of a black-box system. A large number of interpreting methods focus on identifying explanatory input features, which generally fall into two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Vy Vo , Van Nguyen , Trung Le , Quan Hung Tran , Gholamreza Haffari , Seyit Camtepe , Dinh Phung

Modern data analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-led decision making. As an important branch of state-of-the-art data analytics, business process predictions are also faced…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Chun Ouyang , Renuka Sindhgatta , Catarina Moreira

We focus in this paper in the estimation of a target trajectory defined by whether a time constant parameter in a simple stochastic process or a random walk with binary observations. The binary observation comes from binary derivative…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-04-25 Adrien Ickowicz

The main objective of explanations is to transmit knowledge to humans. This work proposes to construct informative explanations for predictions made from machine learning models. Motivated by the observations from social sciences, our…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-05-29 Freddy Lecue , Jiewen Wu

Exploring the expansion history of the universe, understanding its evolutionary stages, and predicting its future evolution are important goals in astrophysics. Today, machine learning tools are used to help achieving these goals by…

We formulate a causal extension to the recently introduced paradigm of instance-wise feature selection to explain black-box visual classifiers. Our method selects a subset of input features that has the greatest causal effect on the models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-27 Pranoy Panda , Sai Srinivas Kancheti , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

A parametric point process model is developed, with modeling based on the assumption that sequential observations often share latent phenomena, while also possessing idiosyncratic effects. An alternating optimization method is proposed to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Hongteng Xu , Lawrence Carin , Hongyuan Zha

Numerous algorithms have been proposed for detecting anomalies (outliers, novelties) in an unsupervised manner. Unfortunately, it is not trivial, in general, to understand why a given sample (record) is labelled as an anomaly and thus…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Nikolaos Myrtakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos , Vassilis Christophides

Evaluating explanation techniques using human subjects is costly, time-consuming and can lead to subjectivity in the assessments. To evaluate the accuracy of local explanations, we require access to the true feature importance scores for a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Amir Hossein Akhavan Rahnama , Judith Butepage , Pierre Geurts , Henrik Bostrom

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Bemali Wickramanayake , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira , Yue Xu , Renuka Sindhgatta

Conditional selective inference requires an exact characterization of the selection event, which is often unavailable except for a few examples like the lasso. This work addresses this challenge by introducing a generic approach to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu , Jelena Markovic-Voronov , Jonathan Taylor

In this paper we propose a method for the optimal allocation of observations between an intrinsically explainable glass box model and a black box model. An optimal allocation being defined as one which, for any given explainability level…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Vincent Pisztora , Jia Li
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