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This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

In this paper, we tackle the challenge of predicting stock movements in financial markets by introducing Higher Order Transformers, a novel architecture designed for processing multivariate time-series data. We extend the self-attention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Soroush Omranpour , Guillaume Rabusseau , Reihaneh Rabbany

While self-attention has been instrumental in the success of Transformers, it can lead to over-concentration on a few tokens during training, resulting in suboptimal information flow. Enforcing doubly-stochastic constraints in attention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Ashkan Shahbazi , Elaheh Akbari , Darian Salehi , Xinran Liu , Navid Naderializadeh , Soheil Kolouri

The existing literature provides evidence that limit order book data can be used to predict short-term price movements in stock markets. This paper proposes a new neural network architecture for predicting return jump arrivals in equity…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-09-17 Ymir Mäkinen , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Transformers have been actively studied for time-series forecasting in recent years. While often showing promising results in various scenarios, traditional Transformers are not designed to fully exploit the characteristics of time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

This study presents a groundbreaking model for forecasting long-term financial time series, termed the Enhanced LFTSformer. The model distinguishes itself through several significant innovations: (1) VMD-MIC+FE Feature Engineering: The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Jianan Zhang , Hongyi Duan

The primary objective of this research is to build a Momentum Transformer that is expected to outperform benchmark time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies. We extend the ideas introduced in the paper Trading with the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-18 Max Mason , Waasi A Jagirdar , David Huang , Rahul Murugan

Time series forecasting has various applications, such as meteorological rainfall prediction, traffic flow analysis, financial forecasting, and operational load monitoring for various systems. Due to the sparsity of time series data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Xiaojian Wang , Chaoli Zhang , Zhonglong Zheng , Yunliang Jiang

We propose a novel framework, Continuous_Time Attention, which infuses partial differential equations (PDEs) into the Transformer's attention mechanism to address the challenges of extremely long input sequences. Instead of relying solely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Yukun Zhang , Xueqing Zhou

Transformer-based models have gained large popularity and demonstrated promising results in long-term time-series forecasting in recent years. In addition to learning attention in time domain, recent works also explore learning attention in…

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Recently, attention-based encoder-decoder (AED) models have shown high performance for end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) across several tasks. Addressing overconfidence in such models, in this paper we introduce the concept of…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-16 Timo Lohrenz , Patrick Schwarz , Zhengyang Li , Tim Fingscheidt

Transformers have recently gained attention in the computer vision domain due to their ability to model long-range dependencies. However, the self-attention mechanism, which is the core part of the Transformer model, usually suffers from…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Reza Azad , René Arimond , Ehsan Khodapanah Aghdam , Amirhossein Kazerouni , Dorit Merhof

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Deciding when to buy or sell a stock is not an easy task because the market is hard to predict, being influenced by political and economic factors. Thus, methodologies based on computational intelligence have been applied to this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-15 Elivelto Ebermam , Helder Knidel , Renato A. Krohling

Motion forecasting for autonomous driving is a challenging task because complex driving scenarios result in a heterogeneous mix of static and dynamic inputs. It is an open problem how best to represent and fuse information about road…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-14 Nigamaa Nayakanti , Rami Al-Rfou , Aurick Zhou , Kratarth Goel , Khaled S. Refaat , Benjamin Sapp

We propose Mixed-Panels-Transformer Encoder (MPTE), a novel framework for estimating factor models in panel datasets with mixed frequencies and nonlinear signals. Traditional factor models rely on linear signal extraction and require…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-26 Alessio Brini , Ekaterina Seregina

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz
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