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The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainty in probability of failure estimates resulting from incomplete knowledge of the probability distributions for the input random variables. We propose a framework that couples the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael Shields

Envelope methodology can provide substantial efficiency gains in multivariate statistical problems, but in some applications the estimation of the envelope dimension can induce selection volatility that may mitigate those gains. Current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-17 Daniel J. Eck , R. Dennis Cook

Inverse propensity-score weighted (IPW) estimators are prevalent in causal inference for estimating average treatment effects in observational studies. Under unconfoundedness, given accurate propensity scores and $n$ samples, the size of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-03 Alkis Kalavasis , Anay Mehrotra , Manolis Zampetakis

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

Finite population inference is a central goal in survey sampling. Probability sampling is the main statistical approach to finite population inference. Challenges arise due to high cost and increasing non-response rates. Data integration…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

The manuscript discusses how to incorporate random effects for quantile regression models for clustered data with focus on settings with many but small clusters. The paper has three contributions: (i) documenting that existing methods may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-24 Maria Laura Battagliola , Helle Sørensen , Anders Tolver , Ana-Maria Staicu

Bias in causal comparisons has a direct correspondence with distributional imbalance of covariates between treatment groups. Weighting strategies such as inverse propensity score weighting attempt to mitigate bias by either modeling the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-14 Jared D. Huling , Simon Mak

Quantile regression is a powerful data analysis tool that accommodates heterogeneous covariate-response relationships. We find that by coupling the asymmetric Laplace working likelihood with appropriate shrinkage priors, we can deliver…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Yuanzhi Li , Xuming He

In this article, we propose a novel Bayesian multiple testing formulation for model and variable selection in inverse setups, judiciously embedding the idea of inverse reference distributions proposed by Bhattacharya (2013) in a mixture…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-16 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The weak convergence of the quantile processes, which are constructed based on different estimators of the finite population quantiles, is shown under various well-known sampling designs based on a superpopulation model. The results related…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-02 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

Surveys are commonly used to facilitate research in epidemiology, health, and the social and behavioral sciences. Often, these surveys are not simple random samples, and respondents are given weights reflecting their probability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

In classical statistics and distribution testing, it is often assumed that elements can be sampled from some distribution $P$, and that when an element $x$ is sampled, the probability $P$ of sampling $x$ is also known. Recent work in…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-08-03 Talya Eden , Jakob Bæk Tejs Houen , Shyam Narayanan , Will Rosenbaum , Jakub Tětek

The aim of survey statistics is to produce estimates with a minimal bias and a corresponding acceptable variance given a specific budget, preferable with a minor response burden for the participants. In recent years, considerable efforts…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Martin Hyllienmark , Gustaf Strandell

Unlike standard linear regression, quantile regression captures the relationship between covariates and the conditional response distribution as a whole, rather than only the relationship between covariates and the expected value of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-19 Isabella N Grabski , Roberta De Vito , Barbara E Engelhardt

Contrasting marginal counterfactual survival curves across treatment arms is an effective and popular approach for inferring the causal effect of an intervention on a right-censored time-to-event outcome. A key challenge to drawing such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Andrew Ying , Yifan Cui , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

A nonparametric Bayesian approach is developed to determine quantum potentials from empirical data for quantum systems at finite temperature. The approach combines the likelihood model of quantum mechanics with a priori information over…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 J. C. Lemm , J. Uhlig , A. Weiguny

In causal inference, the Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) estimator is commonly used to estimate causal effects for estimands within the class of Weighted Average Treatment Effect (WATE). When constructing confidence intervals (CIs),…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Shunichiro Orihara

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou