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Estimating feature importance is a significant aspect of explaining data-based models. Besides explaining the model itself, an equally relevant question is which features are important in the underlying data generating process. We present a…

This article describes an approach to incorporate expert opinion on observable quantities through the use of a loss function which updates a prior belief as opposed to specifying parameters on the priors. Eliciting information on observable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Philip Cooney , Arthur White

Current machine learning models are evaluated through behavioral snapshots, with benchmark accuracies, win rates and outcome-based metrics. Model explanations and evaluations, however, are fundamentally intertwined: understanding why a…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Isabelle Lee , Emmy Liu , Cathy Jiao , Brihi Joshi , Dani Yogatama , Fazl Barez , Michael Saxon

Initially developed in Brunner et al. (1997), the Anova-type-statistic (ATS) is one of the most used quadratic forms for testing multivariate hypotheses for a variety of different parameter vectors $\boldsymbol{\theta}\in\mathbb{R}^d$. Such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-25 Paavo Sattler , Manuel Rosenbaum

Model evaluation -- the process of making inferences about the performance of predictive models -- is a critical component of predictive modeling research in learning analytics. We survey the state of the practice with respect to model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-15 Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Causal discovery from observational data is a challenging task that can only be solved up to a set of equivalent solutions, called an equivalence class. Such classes, which are often large in size, encode uncertainties about the orientation…

In this article, we review selective inference, a set of techniques for inference when the statistical question asked is a function of the data. This setting often arises in contemporary scientific workflows, where hypotheses and parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Anna Neufeld , Ronan Perry , Daniela Witten

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

A new empirical Bayes approach to variable selection in the context of generalized linear models is developed. The proposed algorithm scales to situations in which the number of putative explanatory variables is very large, possibly much…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Haim Bar , James Booth , Martin T. Wells

Selection of important covariates and to drop the unimportant ones from a high-dimensional regression model is a long standing problem and hence have received lots of attention in the last two decades. After selecting the correct model, it…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-17 Debraj Das , Arindam Chatterjee , S. N. Lahiri

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Despite the empirical version of least trimmed squares (LTS) being repeatedly studied in the literature, the population…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-29 Yijun Zuo

This paper develops a class of potential outcomes models characterized by three main features: (i) Unobserved heterogeneity can be represented by a vector of potential outcomes and a type describing the manner in which an instrument…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-10 Manu Navjeevan , Rodrigo Pinto , Andres Santos

Complex statistical models such as scalar-on-image regression often require strong assumptions to overcome the issue of non-identifiability. While in theory it is well understood that model assumptions can strongly influence the results,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-04 Clara Happ , Sonja Greven , Volker J. Schmid

Predictions about people, such as their expected educational achievement or their credit risk, can be performative and shape the outcome that they aim to predict. Understanding the causal effect of these predictions on the eventual outcomes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Frances Ding , Yixin Wang

Classical automata theory is far more capable of modeling complex digital systems than is widely acknowledged in the ``formal methods'' literature. This paper takes a second look at automata theory methods that were mostly developed in the…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Victor Yodaiken

Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory but are extensively used today as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning models in the industry and academia. There are several…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

This dissertation introduces executable refinement types, which refine structural types by semi-decidable predicates, and establishes their metatheory and accompanying implementation techniques. These results are useful for undecidable type…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2014-03-14 Kenneth Knowles

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

We present a new type system with support for proofs of programs in a call-by-value language with control operators. The proof mechanism relies on observational equivalence of (untyped) programs. It appears in two type constructors, which…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2016-04-08 Rodolphe Lepigre