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Understanding extreme events and their probability is key for the study of climate change impacts, risk assessment, adaptation, and the protection of living beings. Forecasting the occurrence probability of extreme heatwaves is a primary…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-21 George Miloshevich , Bastien Cozian , Patrice Abry , Pierre Borgnat , Freddy Bouchet

The share of wind energy in total installed power capacity has grown rapidly in recent years around the world. Producing accurate and reliable forecasts of wind power production, together with a quantification of the uncertainty, is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-26 Amanda Lenzi , Ingelin Steinsland , Pierre Pinson

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models that integrate coupled physical equations forward in time are the traditional tools for simulating atmospheric processes and forecasting weather. With recent advancements in deep learning, AI-based…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-12-22 Milton Gomez , Louis Poulain--Auzeau , Alexis Berne , Tom Beucler

Wind speed forecasting has received a lot of attention in the recent past from researchers due to its enormous benefits in the generation of wind power and distribution. The biggest challenge still remains to be accurate prediction of wind…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Dennis Cheruiyot Kiplangat , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar

The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models, especially those employing deep learning techniques. This paper reviews the advancements and applications of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-11 Hailong Shu , Yue Wang , Weiwei Song , Huichuang Guo , Zhen Song

Neural scaling laws, which in some domains can predict the performance of large neural networks as a function of model, data, and compute scale, are the cornerstone of building foundation models in Natural Language Processing and Computer…

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Task embeddings in multi-layer perceptrons for multi-task learning and inductive transfer learning in renewable power forecasts have recently been introduced. In many cases, this approach improves the forecast error and reduces the required…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , Bernhard Sick

Reanalysis datasets have become indispensable tools for wind resource assessment and wind power simulation, offering long-term and spatially continuous wind fields across large regions. However, they inherently contain systematic wind speed…

Correctly forecasting the timing and location of changes in winter precipitation type could help decision makers mitigate the worst impacts of winter storms. Multiple precipitation type algorithms have been developed from both physical and…

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes. Today, such forecasts enjoy unprecedented accuracy out to two weeks thanks to steady advances in…

This article investigates the optimization of yaw control inputs of a nine-turbine wind farm. The wind farm is simulated using the high-fidelity simulator SOWFA. The optimization is performed with a modifier adaptation scheme based on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-30 Leif Erik Andersson , Bart Doekemeijer , Daan van der Hoek , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Lars Imsland

Passive device installation on wind turbine generators (WTGs) can potentially improve the power generation of WTGs. Yet, how much impact the installation will make is unclear because conducting controlled experiments is impossible due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Hoon Hwangbo , Yu Ding , Daniel Cabezon

Electricity generated from renewable energy sources has been established as an efficient remedy for both energy shortages and the environmental pollution stemming from conventional energy production methods. Solar and wind power are two of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-06 Charalampos Symeonidis , Nikos Nikolaidis

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Modern deep learning techniques, which mimic traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and are derived from global atmospheric reanalysis data, have caused a significant revolution within a few years. In this new paradigm, our…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Minjong Cheon , Daehyun Kang , Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang

Wind speed and direction variations across the rotor affect power production. As utility-scale turbines extend higher into the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with larger rotor diameters and hub heights, they increasingly encounter more…

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta
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