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Reservoir computers are powerful tools for chaotic time series prediction. They can be trained to approximate phase space flows and can thus both predict future values to a high accuracy, as well as reconstruct the general properties of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 André Röhm , Daniel J. Gauthier , Ingo Fischer

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

Time series generation is critical for a wide range of applications, which greatly supports downstream analytical and decision-making tasks. However, the inherent temporal heterogeneous induced by localized perturbations present significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Zirui Liu , Xianquan Wang , Yitong Zhou , Qi Liu

Reservoir computing systems, a class of recurrent neural networks, have recently been exploited for model-free, data-based prediction of the state evolution of a variety of chaotic dynamical systems. The prediction horizon demonstrated has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-06 Huawei Fan , Junjie Jiang , Chun Zhang , Xingang Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai

The emergence of deep learning has yielded noteworthy advancements in time series forecasting (TSF). Transformer architectures, in particular, have witnessed broad utilization and adoption in TSF tasks. Transformers have proven to be the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Liyilei Su , Xumin Zuo , Rui Li , Xin Wang , Heng Zhao , Bingding Huang

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Linear Response theory aims to predict how added forcing alters the statistical properties of an unforced system. These kinds of questions have been studied predominantly for autonomous dynamical systems, yet many systems in the physical,…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-04-07 Stefano Galatolo , Valerio Lucarini

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

Accurate time series prediction is challenging due to the inherent nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions. We propose a novel approach that enhances neural network predictions through differential learning, which involves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Akash Yadav , Eulalia Nualart

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a structure called a reservoir, which has nonlinearities and short-term memory. In recent years, reservoir computing has expanded to new functions such as the autonomous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-05 Kohei Tsuchiyama , André Röhm , Takatomo Mihana , Ryoichi Horisaki , Makoto Naruse

Self-sustained, elevated neuronal activity persisting on time scales of ten seconds or longer is thought to be vital for aspects of working memory, including brain representations of real space. Continuous-attractor neural networks, one of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2020-08-19 Joseph L. Natale , H. George E. Hentschel , Ilya Nemenman

Recently, machine learning techniques, particularly deep learning, have demonstrated superior performance over traditional time series forecasting methods across various applications, including both single-variable and multi-variable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Huaiyuan Rao , Yichen Zhao , Qiang Lai

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Forecasting the behavior of high-dimensional dynamical systems using machine learning requires efficient methods to learn the underlying physical model. We demonstrate spatiotemporal chaos prediction using a machine learning architecture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-27 Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

Anomaly detection of time series plays an important role in reliability systems engineering. However, in practical application, there is no precisely defined boundary between normal and anomalous behaviors in different application…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Ziling Wu , Ping Liu , Zheng Hu , Bocheng Li , Jun Wang

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

Time series prediction can be generalized as a process that extracts useful information from historical records and then determines future values. Learning long-range dependencies that are embedded in time series is often an obstacle for…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Yuxiu Hua , Zhifeng Zhao , Rongpeng Li , Xianfu Chen , Zhiming Liu , Honggang Zhang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a crucial aspect of modern society, playing a pivotal role in facilitating long-term planning and developing early warning systems. While many Transformer-based models have recently been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Yuntian Chen