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Penalized (or regularized) regression, as represented by Lasso and its variants, has become a standard technique for analyzing high-dimensional data when the number of variables substantially exceeds the sample size. The performance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

Many varieties of cross validation would be statistically appealing for the estimation of smoothing and other penalized regression hyperparameters, were it not for the high cost of evaluating such criteria. Here it is shown how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Simon N. Wood

The future predictive performance of a Bayesian model can be estimated using Bayesian cross-validation. In this article, we consider Gaussian latent variable models where the integration over the latent values is approximated using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-09 Aki Vehtari , Tommi Mononen , Ville Tolvanen , Tuomas Sivula , Ole Winther

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

Beta regression is commonly employed when the outcome variable is a proportion. Since its conception, the approach has been widely used in applications spanning various scientific fields. A series of extensions have been proposed over time,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Martin Slawski

The MDL two-part coding $ \textit{index of resolvability} $ provides a finite-sample upper bound on the statistical risk of penalized likelihood estimators over countable models. However, the bound does not apply to unpenalized maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-01 W. D. Brinda , Jason M. Klusowski

Large-scale empirical data, the sample size and the dimension are high, often exhibit various characteristics. For example, the noise term follows unknown distributions or the model is very sparse that the number of critical variables is…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-18 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

We propose a new measure of variable importance in high-dimensional regression based on the change in the LASSO solution path when one covariate is left out. The proposed procedure provides a novel way to calculate variable importance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-11 Xiangyang Cao , Karl Gregory , Dewei Wang

We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is widely used for evaluating diagnostic systems. Recent studies have shown that estimating an area under ROC curve (AUC) with standard cross-validation methods suffers from a large bias. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Ileana Montoya Perez , Antti Airola , Peter J. Boström , Ivan Jambor , Tapio Pahikkala

I briefly report on some unexpected results that I obtained when optimizing the model parameters of the Lasso. In simulations with varying observations-to-variables ratio n=p, I typically observe a strong peak in the test error curve at the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-04-29 Nicole Kraemer

When evaluating and comparing models using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), the uncertainty of the estimate is typically assessed using the variance of the sampling distribution. Considering the uncertainty is important, as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-16 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari

We derive information theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on a new measure of leave-one-out conditional mutual information (loo-CMI). Contrary to other CMI bounds, which are black-box bounds that do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-04 Mohamad Rida Rammal , Alessandro Achille , Aditya Golatkar , Suhas Diggavi , Stefano Soatto

We consider the problem of fitting the parameters of a high-dimensional linear regression model. In the regime where the number of parameters $p$ is comparable to or exceeds the sample size $n$, a successful approach uses an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-04 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

We derive high-dimensional Gaussian comparison results for the standard $V$-fold cross-validated risk estimates. Our results combine a recent stability-based argument for the low-dimensional central limit theorem of cross-validation with…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-15 Nicholas Kissel , Jing Lei

Subject-exclusive cross-validation is the standard evaluation protocol for facial Action Unit (AU) detection, yet reported improvements are often small. We show that cross-validation itself introduces measurable stochastic variance. On…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Saurabh Hinduja , Gurmeet Kaur , Maneesh Bilalpur , Jeffrey Cohn , Shaun Canavan

This paper proposes a theory for $\ell_1$-norm penalized high-dimensional $M$-estimators, with nonconvex risk and unrestricted domain. Under high-level conditions, the estimators are shown to attain the rate of convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-14 Jad Beyhum , François Portier

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

We present a simple algorithm for identifying and correcting real-valued noisy labels from a mixture of clean and corrupted sample points using Gaussian process regression. A heteroscedastic noise model is employed, in which additive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Yu-Hang Tang , Yuanran Zhu , Wibe A. de Jong

We propose leave-out estimators of quadratic forms designed for the study of linear models with unrestricted heteroscedasticity. Applications include analysis of variance and tests of linear restrictions in models with many regressors. An…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-28 Patrick Kline , Raffaele Saggio , Mikkel Sølvsten