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Predicting future international events from textual information, such as news articles, has tremendous potential for applications in global policy, strategic decision-making, and geopolitics. However, existing datasets available for this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Daehoon Gwak , Junwoo Park , Minho Park , Chaehun Park , Hyunchan Lee , Edward Choi , Jaegul Choo

Large Language Models (LLMs) are widely used for writing economic analysis reports or providing financial advice, but their ability to understand economic knowledge and reason about potential results of specific economic events lacks…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Yue Guo , Yi Yang

This paper explores the potential opportunities, risks, and challenges associated with the use of large language models (LLMs) in sports science and medicine. LLMs are large neural networks with transformer style architectures trained on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Mark Connor , Michael O'Neill

Machine learning models have become increasingly popular for predicting the results of soccer matches, however, the lack of publicly-available benchmark datasets has made model evaluation challenging. The 2023 Soccer Prediction Challenge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Calvin Yeung , Rory Bunker , Rikuhei Umemoto , Keisuke Fujii

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent advances in large language models (LLMs), new opportunities have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Baichuan Mo , Hanyong Xu , Ruoyun Ma , Jung-Hoon Cho , Dingyi Zhuang , Xiaotong Guo , Jinhua Zhao

Predicting the locations an individual will visit in the future is crucial for solving many societal issues like disease diffusion and reduction of pollution. However, next-location predictors require a significant amount of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Ciro Beneduce , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, yet aligning them efficiently and effectively with human expectations remains a critical challenge. This thesis advances LLM alignment by introducing novel…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Yuxin Jiang

Sports analytics has become both more professional and sophisticated, driven by the growing availability of detailed performance data. This progress enables applications such as match outcome prediction, player scouting, and tactical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-07 Calvin Yeung , Kenjiro Ide , Taiga Someya , Keisuke Fujii

The rapid evolution of Large Language Models (LLMs) has markedly expanded their application across diverse domains, transforming how complex problems are approached and solved. Initially conceived to predict subsequent words in texts, these…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Sumedh Rasal , E. J. Hauer

Large language models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive multimodal reasoning capabilities, yet their understanding of purely numerical time-series signals remains limited. Existing approaches mainly focus on forecasting or trend…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Ninghui Feng , Yiyan Qi

State of the art large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive performance on a variety of benchmark tasks and are increasingly used as components in larger applications, where LLM-based predictions serve as proxies for human…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Michael Franke , Polina Tsvilodub , Fausto Carcassi

Entity matching (EM) is a critical step in entity resolution (ER). Recently, entity matching based on large language models (LLMs) has shown great promise. However, current LLM-based entity matching approaches typically follow a binary…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Tianshu Wang , Xiaoyang Chen , Hongyu Lin , Xuanang Chen , Xianpei Han , Hao Wang , Zhenyu Zeng , Le Sun

Modern high-stakes systems, such as healthcare or robotics, often generate vast streaming event sequences. Our goal is to design an efficient, plug-and-play tool to elicit logic tree-based explanations from Large Language Models (LLMs) to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-01 Zitao Song , Chao Yang , Chaojie Wang , Bo An , Shuang Li

Prevailing large language models (LLMs) are capable of human responses simulation through its unprecedented content generation and reasoning abilities. However, it is not clear whether and how to leverage LLMs to simulate field experiments.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Yaoyu Chen , Yuheng Hu , Yingda Lu

Language models (LMs) are statistical models trained to assign probability to human-generated text. As such, it is reasonable to question whether they approximate linguistic variability exhibited by humans well. This form of statistical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Evgenia Ilia , Wilker Aziz

Machine learning practitioners often face significant challenges in formally integrating their prior knowledge and beliefs into predictive models, limiting the potential for nuanced and context-aware analyses. Moreover, the expertise needed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-23 James Requeima , John Bronskill , Dami Choi , Richard E. Turner , David Duvenaud

Forecasts of future events are essential inputs into informed decision-making. Machine learning (ML) systems have the potential to deliver forecasts at scale, but there is no framework for evaluating the accuracy of ML systems on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-03 Ezra Karger , Houtan Bastani , Chen Yueh-Han , Zachary Jacobs , Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Philip E. Tetlock

Large language models (LLMs) are trained on enormous amounts of data and encode knowledge in their parameters. We propose a pipeline to elicit causal relationships from LLMs. Specifically, (i) we sample many documents from LLMs on a given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Takashi Kameyama , Masahiro Kato , Yasuko Hio , Yasushi Takano , Naoto Minakawa

In this paper, we propose Latent Relation Language Models (LRLMs), a class of language models that parameterizes the joint distribution over the words in a document and the entities that occur therein via knowledge graph relations. This…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-08-22 Hiroaki Hayashi , Zecong Hu , Chenyan Xiong , Graham Neubig

Large language models (LMs) are currently trained to predict tokens given document prefixes, enabling them to directly perform long-form generation and prompting-style tasks which can be reduced to document completion. Existing pretraining…