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Active learning is a powerful tool when labelling data is expensive, but it introduces a bias because the training data no longer follows the population distribution. We formalize this bias and investigate the situations in which it can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth

Boosting is a key method in statistical learning, allowing for converting weak learners into strong ones. While well studied in the realizable case, the statistical properties of weak-to-strong learning remain less understood in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Arthur da Cunha , Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Andrea Paudice , Yuxin Sun

Engineers in the manufacturing industries have used accelerated test (AT) experiments for many decades. The purpose of AT experiments is to acquire reliability information quickly. Test units of a material, component, subsystem or entire…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-08-03 Luis A. Escobar , William Q. Meeker

Online A/B experiments generate millions of user-activity records each day, yet experimenters need timely forecasts to guide roll-outs and safeguard user experience. Motivated by the problem of activity prediction for A/B tests at Amazon,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Mario Beraha , Lorenzo Masoero , Stefano Favaro , Thomas S. Richardson

In the past decade, AB tests have become the standard method for making product decisions in tech companies. They offer a scientific approach to product development, using statistical hypothesis testing to control the risks of incorrect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-20 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren , Mattias Frånberg

Controllable text generation systems often leverage control codes to direct various properties of the output like style and length. Inspired by recent work on causal inference for NLP, this paper reveals a previously overlooked flaw in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-10-10 Junyi Chai , Reid Pryzant , Victor Ye Dong , Konstantin Golobokov , Chenguang Zhu , Yi Liu

Despite having high accuracy, neural nets have been shown to be susceptible to adversarial examples, where a small perturbation to an input can cause it to become mislabeled. We propose metrics for measuring the robustness of a neural net…

Gathering observational data for medical decision-making often involves uncertainties arising from both type I (false positive)and type II (false negative) errors. In this work, we develop a statistical model to study how medical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Lucas Böttcher , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Test-time scaling is a promising new approach to language modeling that uses extra test-time compute to improve performance. Recently, OpenAI's o1 model showed this capability but did not publicly share its methodology, leading to many…

Selecting the optimal recommender via online exploration-exploitation is catching increasing attention where the traditional A/B testing can be slow and costly, and offline evaluations are prone to the bias of history data. Finding the…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Da Xu , Chuanwei Ruan , Evren Korpeoglu , Sushant Kumar , Kannan Achan

Fast and reliable evaluation metrics are key to R&D progress. While traditional natural language generation metrics are fast, they are not very reliable. Conversely, new metrics based on large pretrained language models are much more…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Moussa Kamal Eddine , Guokan Shang , Antoine J. -P. Tixier , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Online experiments (A/B tests) are widely regarded as the gold standard for evaluating recommender system variants and guiding launch decisions. However, a variety of biases can distort the results of the experiment and mislead…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Chen Zheng , Zhenyu Zhao

AB-testing is a very popular technique in web companies since it makes it possible to accurately predict the impact of a modification with the simplicity of a random split across users. One of the critical aspects of an AB-test is its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-02-02 Cyrille Dubarry

We present a simple and effective way to estimate the batch-norm statistics during test time, to fast adapt a source model to target test samples. Known as Test-Time Adaptation, most prior works studying this task follow two assumptions in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-25 Xuefeng Hu , Gokhan Uzunbas , Sirius Chen , Rui Wang , Ashish Shah , Ram Nevatia , Ser-Nam Lim

The robot learning community has made great strides in recent years, proposing new architectures and showcasing impressive new capabilities; however, the dominant metric used in the literature, especially for physical experiments, is…

Active learning has shown to reduce the number of experiments needed to obtain high-confidence drug-target predictions. However, in order to actually save experiments using active learning, it is crucial to have a method to evaluate the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-04-10 Maja Temerinac-Ott , Armaghan W. Naik , Robert F. Murphy

Machine Learning is an efficient method for analyzing and interpreting the increasing amount of astronomical data that is available. In this study, we show, a pedagogical approach that should benefit anyone willing to experiment with Deep…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-02-01 Marwan Gebran , Kathleen Connick , Hikmat Farhat , Frédéric Paletou , Ian Bentley

Control schemes that learn using measurement data collected online are increasingly promising for the control of complex and uncertain systems. However, in most approaches of this kind, learning is viewed as a side effect that passively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Alexandre Capone , Sandra Hirche