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Many organizations utilize large-scale online controlled experiments (OCEs) to accelerate innovation. Having high statistical power to detect small differences between control and treatment accurately is critical, as even small changes in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-11 Ali Mahmoudzadeh , Sophia Liu , Sol Sadeghi , Paul Luo Li , Somit Gupta

Though learning has become a core component of modern information processing, there is now ample evidence that it can lead to biased, unsafe, and prejudiced systems. The need to impose requirements on learning is therefore paramount,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Santiago Paternain , Miguel Calvo-Fullana , Alejandro Ribeiro

Underpowered studies (below 50% power) suffer from the winner's curse: A statistically significant positive estimate must exaggerate the true treatment effect to meet the significance threshold. A study by Dipayan Biswas, Annika Abell, and…

While data selection methods have been studied extensively in active learning, data pruning, and data augmentation settings, there is little evidence for the efficacy of these methods in industry scale settings, particularly in low-resource…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-29 Anusha Sabbineni , Nikhil Anand , Maria Minakova

We develop a neural-network framework for multi-period risk--reward stochastic control problems with constrained two-step feedback policies that may be discontinuous in the state. We allow a broad class of objectives built on a…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-09 Chang Chen , Duy-Minh Dang

Large-scale randomized experiments, sometimes called A/B tests, are increasingly prevalent in many industries. Though such experiments are often analyzed via frequentist $t$-tests, arguably such analyses are deficient: $p$-values are hard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-27 F. Richard Guo , James McQueen , Thomas S. Richardson

This paper investigates simultaneous preference and metric learning from a crowd of respondents. A set of items represented by $d$-dimensional feature vectors and paired comparisons of the form ``item $i$ is preferable to item $j$'' made by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-11 Gregory Canal , Blake Mason , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Robert Nowak

Most existing distance metric learning methods assume perfect side information that is usually given in pairwise or triplet constraints. Instead, in many real-world applications, the constraints are derived from side information, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Kaizhu Huang , Rong Jin , Zenglin Xu , Cheng-Lin Liu

When training powerful AI systems to perform complex tasks, it may be challenging to provide training signals which are robust to optimization. One concern is \textit{measurement tampering}, where the AI system manipulates multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Fabien Roger , Ryan Greenblatt , Max Nadeau , Buck Shlegeris , Nate Thomas

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

A common approach to statistical learning with big-data is to randomly split it among $m$ machines and learn the parameter of interest by averaging the $m$ individual estimates. In this paper, focusing on empirical risk minimization, or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-14 Jonathan Rosenblatt , Boaz Nadler

Real-world ecommerce recommender systems must deliver relevant items under strict tens-of-milliseconds latency constraints despite challenges such as cold-start products, rapidly shifting user intent, and dynamic context including…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Han Chen , Steven Zhu , Yingrui Li

Statistical significance testing is widely accepted as a means to assess how well a difference in effectiveness reflects an actual difference between systems, as opposed to random noise because of the selection of topics. According to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-06-07 Julián Urbano , Harlley Lima , Alan Hanjalic

Traditional metrics like accuracy, F1-score, and precision are frequently used to evaluate machine learning models, however they may not be sufficient for evaluating performance on tiny, unbalanced, or high-dimensional datasets. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Serzhan Ossenov

Effective exploration is believed to positively influence the long-term user experience on recommendation platforms. Determining its exact benefits, however, has been challenging. Regular A/B tests on exploration often measure neutral or…

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type $1$ error inflation under…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-28 Vineet Abhishek , Shie Mannor

The continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI) statistic is a popular model change measure that was developed to assess the incremental value of new factors in a risk prediction model. Two prominent statistical issues identified in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Glenn Heller

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

In nonstandard testing environments, researchers often derive ad hoc tests with correct (asymptotic) size, but their optimality properties are typically unknown a priori and difficult to assess. This paper develops a numerical framework for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-24 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey , Jan Scherer

Research often necessitates of samples, yet obtaining large enough samples is not always possible. When it is, the researcher may use one of two methods for deciding upon the required sample size: rules-of-thumb, quick yet uncertain, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-08 Jose D. Perezgonzalez
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