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相关论文: A constructive approach to selective risk control

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Predictive models are often deployed through existing decision policies that stakeholders are reluctant to change unless a risk constraint requires intervention. We study risk-controlled post-processing: given a deterministic baseline…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Sunay Joshi , Tao Wang , Hamed Hassani , Edgar Dobriban

Likelihood methods for measuring statistical evidence obey the likelihood principle while maintaining bounded and well-controlled frequency properties. These methods lend themselves to sequential study designs because they measure the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Jeffrey D Blume , Leena Choi

In this paper, I apply the decision theory and empirical Bayesian approach to construct confidence intervals for selected populations when true parameters follow a mixture prior distribution. A loss function with two tuning parameters $k_1$…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-01-16 Zhigen Zhao

Multiple tests are designed to test a whole collection of null hypotheses simultaneously. Their quality is often judged by the false discovery rate (FDR), i.e. the expectation of the quotient of the number of false rejections divided by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-24 Julia Benditkis , Philipp Heesen , Arnold Janssen

While learning-based control techniques often outperform classical controller designs, safety requirements limit the acceptance of such methods in many applications. Recent developments address this issue through so-called predictive safety…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-16 Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The "scenario approach" provides an intuitive method to address chance constrained problems arising in control design for uncertain systems. It addresses these problems by replacing the chance constraint with a finite number of sampled…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-08-05 Xiaojing Zhang , Sergio Grammatico , Georg Schildbach , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-07-12 Ignacio Cascos , Ilya Molchanov

Control systems operating in the real world face countless sources of unpredictable uncertainties. These random disturbances can render deterministic guarantees inapplicable and cause catastrophic safety failures. To overcome this, this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-10 Pol Mestres , Blake Werner , Ryan K. Cosner , Aaron D. Ames

It is common to show the confidence intervals or $p$-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

In this paper we propose a Multiple kernel testing procedure to infer survival data when several factors (e.g. different treatment groups, gender, medical history) and their interaction are of interest simultaneously. Our method is able to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-16 Marc Ditzhaus , Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

We present a novel dual control strategy for uncertain linear systems based on targeted harmonic exploration and gain-scheduling with performance and excitation guarantees. In the proposed sequential approach, robust control is implemented…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-30 Janani Venkatasubramanian , Johannes Köhler , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

Practical machine learning systems often operate in multiple sequential stages, as seen in ranking and recommendation systems, which typically include a retrieval phase followed by a ranking phase. Effectively assessing prediction…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Yunpeng Xu , Mufang Ying , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

This work studies distributed multiple testing with false discovery rate (FDR) control in the presence of Byzantine attacks, where an adversary captures a fraction of the nodes and corrupts their reported p-values. We focus on two baseline…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-28 Daofu Zhang , Mehrdad Pournaderi , Yu Xiang , Pramod Varshney

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis $H_i$ we observe both a p-value $p_i$ and some predictor $x_i$ encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-26 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

P-hacking poses challenges to traditional hypothesis testing. In this paper, we propose a robust method for the one-sample significance test that can protect against p-hacking from sample manipulation. Precisely, assuming a sequential…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-18 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

Some crucial issues about a recently proposed estimator for the proportion of true null hypotheses ($\pi_0$) under discrete setup are discussed. An estimator for $\pi_0$ is introduced under the same setup. The estimator may be seen as a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Aniket Biswas , Gaurangadeb Chattopadhyay

Multiple hypothesis testing, a situation when we wish to consider many hypotheses, is a core problem in statistical inference that arises in almost every scientific field. In this setting, controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), which…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-19 Shiyun Chen , Shiva Kasiviswanathan
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