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In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Modified treatment policies are a widely applicable class of interventions useful for studying the causal effects of continuous exposures. Approaches to evaluating their causal effects assume no interference, meaning that such effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Salvador V. Balkus , Scott W. Delaney , Nima S. Hejazi

We consider identification and inference for the average treatment effect and heterogeneous treatment effect conditional on observable covariates in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Since point identification of these treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Kan Chen , Jeffrey Zhang , Bingkai Wang , Dylan S. Small

Comparing counterfactual distributions can provide more nuanced and valuable measures for causal effects, going beyond typical summary statistics such as averages. In this work, we consider characterizing causal effects via distributional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Edward H. Kennedy

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Causal effect estimation for dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) contributes to sequential decision making. However, censoring and time-dependent confounding under DTRs are challenging as the amount of observational data declines over time due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-27 Adi Lin , Jie Lu , Junyu Xuan , Fujin Zhu , Guangquan Zhang

The difference-in-differences (DiD) design is a quasi-experimental method for estimating treatment effects. In staggered DiD with multiple treatment groups and periods, estimation based on the two-way fixed effects model yields negative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Yuhao Deng , Le Kang

Causal mediation analysis aims at disentangling a treatment effect into an indirect mechanism operating through an intermediate outcome or mediator, as well as the direct effect of the treatment on the outcome of interest. However, the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-05 Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

Causal inference is crucial for understanding the true impact of interventions, policies, or actions, enabling informed decision-making and providing insights into the underlying mechanisms that shape our world. In this paper, we establish…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Jingyue Huang , Changbao Wu , Leilei Zeng

Estimating an individual's potential response to continuously varied treatments is crucial for addressing causal questions across diverse domains, from healthcare to social sciences. However, existing methods are limited either to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Shutong Chen , Yang Li

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

Interference occurs when a unit's treatment (or exposure) affects another unit's outcome. In some settings, units may be grouped into clusters such that it is reasonable to assume that interference, if present, only occurs between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael G. Hudgens

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental challenge for estimating causal effects. To address unobserved confounding, recent literature has turned to two different approaches -- proxy variables and the use of multiple treatments. The first…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Aytijhya Saha , Stephen Bates , Devavrat Shah

Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

We suggest double/debiased machine learning estimators of direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under a selection-on-observables assumption. This permits disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment at a specific outcome…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-04 Yu-Chin Hsu , Martin Huber , Yu-Min Yen

We propose a novel approach for causal mediation analysis based on changes-in-changes assumptions restricting unobserved heterogeneity over time. This allows disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome into…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-13 Martin Huber , Mark Schelker , Anthony Strittmatter

Unmeasured confounding, unethical exposure, and ill-defined interventions pose significant challenges to evaluating policy-relevant mediation estimands in medicine and public health. In observational studies involving harmful exposures, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yang Bai , Yifan Cui , Baoluo Sun

While much of the causal inference literature has focused on addressing internal validity biases, both internal and external validity are necessary for unbiased estimates in a target population of interest. However, few generalizability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-07 Irina Degtiar , Tim Layton , Jacob Wallace , Sherri Rose

This paper studies the identification of causal effects of a continuous treatment using a new difference-in-difference strategy. Our approach allows for endogeneity of the treatment, and employs repeated cross-sections. It requires an…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Stefan Hoderlein , Yuya Sasaki