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High model performance, on average, can hide that models may systematically underperform on subgroups of the data. We consider the tabular setting, which surfaces the unique issue of outcome heterogeneity - this is prevalent in areas such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Nabeel Seedat , Jonathan Crabbé , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

Estimating the effects of interventions on patient outcome is one of the key aspects of personalized medicine. Their inference is often challenged by the fact that the training data comprises only the outcome for the administered treatment,…

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-17 Katrin Madjar , Manuela Zucknick , Katja Ickstadt , Jörg Rahnenführer

In the recent literature on estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, each proposed method makes its own set of restrictive assumptions about the intervention's effects and which subpopulations to explicitly estimate. Moreover, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Edward McFowland , Sriram Somanchi , Daniel B. Neill

Triple difference designs have become increasingly popular in empirical economics. The advantage of a triple difference design is that, within a treatment group, it allows for another subgroup of the population -- potentially less impacted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-04 Laura Caron

A primary concern of public health researchers involves identifying and quantifying heterogeneous exposure effects across population subgroups. Understanding the magnitude and direction of these effects on a given scale provides researchers…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Michael Cheung , Anna Dimitrova , Tarik Benmarhnia

We propose new, optimal methods for analyzing randomized trials, when it is suspected that treatment effects may differ in two predefined subpopulations. Such sub-populations could be defined by a biomarker or risk factor measured at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Michael Rosenblum , Han Liu , and En-Hsu Yen

Online A/B testing plays a critical role in the high-tech industry to guide product development and accelerate innovation. It performs a null hypothesis statistical test to determine which variant is better. However, a typical A/B test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-03 Miao Yu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Recent methodological developments have introduced new black-box approaches to better estimate heterogeneous treatment effects; however, these methods fall short of providing interpretable characterizations of the underlying individuals who…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Melody Huang , Tiffany M. Tang , Ana M. Kenney

Survival analysis studies time-modeling techniques for an event of interest occurring for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences. However, the data needed to train…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Francesco Lattari , André Martin , Matteo Matteucci

Survival analysis is a cornerstone of clinical research by modeling time-to-event outcomes such as metastasis, disease relapse, or patient death. Unlike standard tabular data, survival data often come with incomplete event information due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Marie Brockschmidt , Maresa Schröder , Stefan Feuerriegel

Cell heterogeneity plays an important role in patient responses to drug treatments. In many cancers, it is associated with poor treatment outcomes. Many modern drug combination therapies aim to exploit cell heterogeneity, but determining…

Tech companies (e.g., Google or Facebook) often use randomized online experiments and/or A/B testing primarily based on the average treatment effects to compare their new product with an old one. However, it is also critically important to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-09 Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo , Hongtu Zhu , Rui Song

Predictive or treatment selection biomarkers are usually evaluated in a subgroup or regression analysis with focus on the treatment-by-marker interaction. Under a potential outcome framework (Huang, Gilbert and Janes [Biometrics 68 (2012)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang , Lei Nie , Guoxing Soon , Aiyi Liu

Many scientific and engineering challenges -- ranging from pharmacokinetic drug dosage allocation and personalized medicine to marketing mix (4Ps) recommendations -- require an understanding of the unobserved heterogeneity in order to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-17 Jelena Bradic , Gerda Claeskens , Thomas Gueuning

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is widely adopted for causal inference under intervention determined by a continuous variable. While one is interested in treatment effect heterogeneity by subgroups in many applications, RDD typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Takuya Ishihara , Daisuke Kurisu

Researchers often run resource-intensive randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to estimate the causal effects of interventions on outcomes of interest. Yet these outcomes are often noisy, and estimated overall effects can be small or…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-21 Jann Spiess , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Victor Yaneng Wang

Recently, from the personalized medicine perspective, there has been an increased demand to identify subgroups of subjects for whom treatment is effective. Consequently, the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-02 Ryoma Hieda , Shintaro Yuki , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn