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Research has shown that deep networks tend to be overly optimistic about their predictions, leading to an underestimation of prediction errors. Due to the limited nature of data, existing studies have proposed various methods based on model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Jia-Qi Yang , De-Chuan Zhan , Le Gan

Reliable probability estimates are critical in many machine learning applications, yet modern classifiers are often poorly calibrated. Post-hoc calibration provides a simple and widely used solution, but the large number of proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction models are common in many online applications such as digital advertising and recommender systems. Field-Aware Factorization Machine (FFM) and Field-weighted Factorization Machine (FwFM) are…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Harshit Pande

Deep learning techniques have been applied widely in industrial recommendation systems. However, far less attention has been paid to the overfitting problem of models in recommendation systems, which, on the contrary, is recognized as a…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-09-14 Zhao-Yu Zhang , Xiang-Rong Sheng , Yujing Zhang , Biye Jiang , Shuguang Han , Hongbo Deng , Bo Zheng

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is critical for industrial recommender systems, where most deep CTR models follow an Embedding \& Feature Interaction paradigm. However, the majority of methods focus on designing network architectures to…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Huifeng Guo , Bo Chen , Ruiming Tang , Weinan Zhang , Zhenguo Li , Xiuqiang He

Calibration is a vital step in the development of rigorous digital models of diverse physical and chemical processes, yet one which is highly time- and labour-intensive. In this paper, we introduce a novel tool, Autonomous Calibration and…

Deep clustering has exhibited remarkable performance; however, the over confidence problem, i.e., the estimated confidence for a sample belonging to a particular cluster greatly exceeds its actual prediction accuracy, has been over looked…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuheng Jia , Jianhong Cheng , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou

Improving calibration performance in deep learning (DL) classification models is important when planning the use of DL in a decision-support setting. In such a scenario, a confident wrong prediction could lead to a lack of trust and/or harm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Tareen Dawood , Bram Ruijsink , Reza Razavi , Andrew P. King , Esther Puyol-Antón

Most machine learning classifiers only concern classification accuracy, while certain applications (such as medical diagnosis, meteorological forecasting, and computation advertising) require the model to predict the true probability, known…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-13 Siguang Huang , Yunli Wang , Lili Mou , Huayue Zhang , Han Zhu , Chuan Yu , Bo Zheng

Data-driven methods have achieved notable performance on intent detection, which is a task to comprehend user queries. Nonetheless, they are controversial for over-confident predictions. In some scenarios, users do not only care about the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-03-18 Yantao Gong , Cao Liu , Fan Yang , Xunliang Cai , Guanglu Wan , Jiansong Chen , Weipeng Zhang , Houfeng Wang

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical problem in web search, recommendation systems and online advertisement displaying. Learning good feature interactions is essential to reflect user's preferences to items. Many CTR prediction…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-05-13 Yuan Cheng , Yanbo Xue

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a crucial task in online display advertising. The embedding-based neural networks have been proposed to learn both explicit feature interactions through a shallow component and deep feature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Wei Deng , Junwei Pan , Tian Zhou , Deguang Kong , Aaron Flores , Guang Lin

Estimates of predictive uncertainty are important for accurate model-based planning and reinforcement learning. However, predictive uncertainties---especially ones derived from modern deep learning systems---can be inaccurate and impose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-21 Ali Malik , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Jiaming Song , Danny Nemer , Harlan Seymour , Stefano Ermon

Post-click conversion rate (CVR) prediction is an essential task for discovering user interests and increasing platform revenues in a range of industrial applications. One of the most challenging problems of this task is the existence of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Quanyu Dai , Haoxuan Li , Peng Wu , Zhenhua Dong , Xiao-Hua Zhou , Rui Zhang , Rui zhang , Jie Sun

Brain vessel segmentation of MR scans is a critical step in the diagnosis of cerebrovascular diseases. Due to the fine vessel structure, manual vessel segmentation is time consuming. Therefore, automatic deep learning (DL) based…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-31 Omini Rathore , Richard Paul , Abigail Morrison , Hanno Scharr , Elisabeth Pfaehler

Reliable uncertainty estimation for 3D object detection is critical for deploying safe autonomous systems, yet modern detectors remain poorly calibrated, especially under distribution shifts. Although post-hoc calibration methods address…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Till Beemelmanns , Alexey Nekrasov , Stefan Vilceanu , Jonas Steinhaus , Timo Woopen , Bastian Leibe , Lutz Eckstein

Learning feature interactions is important to the model performance of online advertising services. As a result, extensive efforts have been devoted to designing effective architectures to learn feature interactions. However, we observe…

Dense prediction tasks such as segmentation and detection of pathological entities hold crucial clinical value in computational pathology workflows. However, obtaining dense annotations on large cohorts is usually tedious and expensive.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-24 Jingwei Zhang , Saarthak Kapse , Ke Ma , Prateek Prasanna , Maria Vakalopoulou , Joel Saltz , Dimitris Samaras

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge