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According to the advent of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, many investments and businesses are now conducted online through cryptocurrencies. Among them, Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to make transactions secure, transparent, traceable,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Milad Asadpour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Forecasting stock and cryptocurrency prices is challenging due to high volatility and non-stationarity, influenced by factors like economic changes and market sentiment. Previous research shows that Echo State Networks (ESNs) can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Mansi Sharma , Enrico Sartor , Marc Cavazza , Helmut Prendinger

Though machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading for quiet some time now, and neural networks(NN) have been shown to yield positive results, in most modern approaches the NN systems are…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2012-01-31 Gene I. Sher

Predicting volatility is important for asset predicting, option pricing and hedging strategies because it cannot be directly observed in the financial market. The Black-Scholes option pricing model is one of the most widely used models by…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-12-01 Soohan Kim , Seok-Bae Yun , Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Muhyun Lee , Youngjoon Hong

The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-04 Samuel Asante Gyamerah

One critical component in lossy deep image compression is the entropy model, which predicts the probability distribution of the quantized latent representation in the encoding and decoding modules. Previous works build entropy models upon…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-16 Yichen Qian , Ming Lin , Xiuyu Sun , Zhiyu Tan , Rong Jin

Our study empirically predicts the bubble of non-fungible tokens (NFTs): transferable and unique digital assets on public blockchains. This topic is important because, despite their strong market growth in 2021, NFTs on a project basis have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-17 Kensuke Ito , Kyohei Shibano , Gento Mogi

This paper studies how to forecast daily closing price series of Bitcoin, using data on prices and volumes of prior days. Bitcoin price behaviour is still largely unexplored, presenting new opportunities. We compared our results with two…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-07 Nicola Uras , Lodovica Marchesi , Michele Marchesi , Roberto Tonelli

This paper suggests parametrically transformed nested error regression models (TNERM), which transform the data flexibly to follow the normal linear mixed regression. We provide a procedure for estimating consistently the parameters of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

We develop new algorithms for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, combining recent developments in transfer learning for neural networks with insights from the causal inference literature. By taking advantage of transfer learning,…

EIP-1559 is a proposal to make several tightly coupled additions to Ethereum's transaction fee mechanism, including variable-size blocks and a burned base fee that rises and falls with demand. This report assesses the game-theoretic…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-03 Tim Roughgarden

To plan a safe and efficient route, an autonomous vehicle should anticipate future motions of other agents around it. Motion prediction is an extremely challenging task which recently gained significant attention of the research community.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Aleksey Postnikov , Aleksander Gamayunov , Gonzalo Ferrer

As the non-fungible token (NFT) market flourishes, price prediction emerges as a pivotal direction for investors gaining valuable insight to maximize returns. However, existing works suffer from a lack of practical definitions and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Tianfu Wang , Liwei Deng , Chao Wang , Jianxun Lian , Yue Yan , Nicholas Jing Yuan , Qi Zhang , Hui Xiong

Predicting turn-taking in multiparty conversations has many practical applications in human-computer/robot interaction. However, the complexity of human communication makes it a challenging task. Recent advances have shown that synchronous…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-22 Mehdi Fatan , Emanuele Mincato , Dimitra Pintzou , Mariella Dimiccoli

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma

In this paper we analyse the effects of information flows in cryptocurrency markets. We first define a cryptocurrency trading network, i.e. the network made using cryptocurrencies as nodes and the Granger causality among their weekly log…

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-27 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

Cryptocurrencies return cross-predictability and technological similarity yield information on risk propagation and market segmentation. To investigate these effects, we build a time-varying network for cryptocurrencies, based on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Li Guo , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yubo Tao

Traditionally, traders and quantitative analysts address alpha decay by manually crafting formulaic alphas, mathematical expressions that identify patterns or signals in financial data, through domain expertise and trial-and-error. This…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen , Hiroaki Kawashima