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This paper develops risk-averse models to support system operators in planning and operating the electricity grid under uncertainty from renewable power generation. We incorporate financial risk hedging using conditional value at risk…

In this paper we present an algorithm to compute risk averse policies in Markov Decision Processes (MDP) when the total cost criterion is used together with the average value at risk (AVaR) metric. Risk averse policies are needed when large…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-02-17 Stefano Carpin , Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we consider risk-sensitive Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with Borel state and action spaces and unbounded cost under both finite and infinite planning horizons. Our optimality criterion is based on the recursive…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner

Inspired by Shapiro et al.~\cite{shapiro2023episodic}, we consider a stochastic optimal control (SOC) and Markov decision process (MDP) where the risks arising from epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties are assessed using Bayesian composite…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-01 Wentao Ma , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

Stochastic and soft optimal policies resulting from entropy-regularized Markov decision processes (ER-MDP) are desirable for exploration and imitation learning applications. Motivated by the fact that such policies are sensitive with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-11 Li Xia

This paper studies the optimization of Markov decision processes (MDPs) from a risk-seeking perspective, where the risk is measured by conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). The objective is to find a policy that maximizes the long-run CVaR of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-05 Li Xia , Zhihui Yu , Peter W. Glynn

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-09-10 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ugo Rosolia , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a standard model for sequential decision-making problems and are widely used across many scientific areas, including formal methods and artificial intelligence (AI). MDPs do, however, come with the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Marnix Suilen , Thom Badings , Eline M. Bovy , David Parker , Nils Jansen

Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Mean payoff (or long-run average reward) provides a mathematically elegant formalism to express performance related…

性能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-08 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

In many sequential decision-making problems one is interested in minimizing an expected cumulative cost while taking into account \emph{risk}, i.e., increased awareness of events of small probability and high consequences. Accordingly, the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-04-07 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Lucas Janson , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with self-triggered strategies, where the idea of self-triggered control is extended to more generic MDP models. This extension broadens the application of self-triggering policies to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-18 Yunhan Huang , Quanyan Zhu

Robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs) extend standard Markov decision processes (MDPs) to account for uncertainty in the transition probabilities. RMDPs have an uncertainty set that defines a set of possible transition functions, each of…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Marnix Suilen , Guillermo A. Pérez

Sequential decisions in volatile, high-stakes settings require more than maximizing expected return; they require principled uncertainty management. This paper presents the Uncertainty-Aware Markov Decision Process (UAMDP), a unified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Michal Koren , Or Peretz , Tai Dinh , Philip S. Yu

This paper considers random access in deadline-constrained broadcasting with frame-synchronized traffic. To enhance the maximum achievable timely delivery ratio (TDR), we define a dynamic control scheme that allows each active node to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-09 Aoyu Gong , Lei Deng , Fang Liu , Yijin Zhang

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for performance analysis and optimization of stochastic systems. The parameters of stochastic behavior of MDPs are estimates from empirical observations of a system; their values are not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-10-26 Dimitri Scheftelowitsch , Peter Buchholz , Vahid Hashemi , Holger Hermanns

We are interested in risk constraints for infinite horizon discrete time Markov decision processes (MDPs). Starting with average reward MDPs, we show that increasing concave stochastic dominance constraints on the empirical distribution of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-06-21 William B. Haskell , Rahul Jain

We design scheduling policies that minimize a risk-sensitive cost criterion for a remote estimation setup. Since risk-sensitive cost objective takes into account not just the mean value of the cost, but also higher order moments of its…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-22 Manali Dutta , Rahul Singh