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相关论文: The Causal Impact of Credit Lines on Spending Dist…

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Fintech lending has become a central mechanism through which digital platforms stimulate consumption, offering dynamic, personalized credit limits that directly shape the purchasing power of consumers. Although prior research shows that…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-04 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-21 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Nanbo Peng , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Motivated by recent findings in the field of consumer science, this paper evaluates the causal effect of debit cards on household consumption using population-based data from the Italy Survey on Household Income and Wealth (SHIW). Within…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-04 Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

It has been argued that innovation in transaction technology may modify the cash holding behaviour of agents, as debit card holders may either withdraw cash from ATMs or purchase items using POS devices at retailers. In this paper, within…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-04 Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

Regulators and academics are increasingly interested in the causal effect that algorithmic actions of a digital platform have on consumption. We introduce a general causal inference problem we call the steerability of consumption that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Gary Cheng , Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

This paper develops a practical framework for using observational data to audit the consumer surplus effects of AI-driven decisions, specifically in targeted pricing and algorithmic lending. Traditional approaches first estimate demand…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Zeyu Bian , Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Zhengling Qi

Most major retailers today have multiple divisions focused on various aspects, such as marketing, supply chain, online customer experience, store customer experience, employee productivity, and vendor fulfillment. They also regularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Pranav Gupta , Nithin Surendran

Nowadays consumer loan plays an important role in promoting the economic growth, and credit cards are the most popular consumer loan. One of the most essential parts in credit cards is the credit limit management. Traditionally, credit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-13 Hang Miao , Kui Zhao , Zhun Wang , Linbo Jiang , Quanhui Jia , Yanming Fang , Quan Yu

We study consumption stimulus with digital coupons, which provide time-limited subsidies contingent on minimum spending. We analyze a large-scale program in China and present five main findings: (1) the program generates large short-term…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-03 Ying Chen , Mingyi Li , Jiaming Mao , Jingyi Zhou

Attribution modelling lies at the heart of marketing effectiveness, yet most existing approaches depend on user-level path data, which are increasingly inaccessible due to privacy regulations and platform restrictions. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-25 Georgios Filippou , Boi Mai Quach , Diana Lenghel , Arthur White , Ashish Kumar Jha

The increasing multiplicity of data sources offers exciting possibilities in estimating the effects of a treatment, intervention, or exposure, particularly if observational and experimental sources could be used simultaneously. Borrowing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-24 Jeffrey A. Boatman , David M. Vock , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

This paper provides a comprehensive examination of the evolution of credit cards in the United States, tracing their historical development, causes, consequences, and impact on both individuals and the economy. It delves into the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Mayowa Akinwande , Alexander Lopez , Tobi Yusuf , Austine Unuriode , Babatunde Yusuf , Toyyibat Yussuph , Stanley Okoro

We apply causal machine learning algorithms to assess the causal effect of a marketing intervention, namely a coupon campaign, on the sales of a retailer. Besides assessing the average impacts of different types of coupons, we also…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-24 Henrika Langen , Martin Huber

Increasing users' positive interactions, such as purchases or clicks, is an important objective of recommender systems. Recommenders typically aim to select items that users will interact with. If the recommended items are purchased, an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-24 Masahiro Sato , Sho Takemori , Janmajay Singh , Tomoko Ohkuma

Researchers commonly use difference-in-differences (DiD) designs to evaluate public policy interventions. While methods exist for estimating effects in the context of binary interventions, policies often result in varied exposures across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

Companies do not operate in a vacuum. As companies move towards an increasingly specialized production function and their reach is becoming truly global, their aptitude in managing and shaping their inter-organizational network is a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-02-24 Tore Opsahl , William Newton

This paper presents two cases of random banking data generators based on migration matrices and scoring rules. The banking data generator is a new hope in researches of finding the proving method of comparisons of various credit scoring…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-05-17 Karol Przanowski

Causal Impact (CI) of customer actions are broadly used across the industry to inform both short- and long-term investment decisions of various types. In this paper, we apply the double machine learning (DML) methodology to estimate the CI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Sushant More , Priya Kotwal , Sujith Chappidi , Dinesh Mandalapu , Chris Khawand

The estimation of causal effects with observational data continues to be a very active research area. In recent years, researchers have developed new frameworks which use machine learning to relax classical assumptions necessary for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Jonathan Fuhr , Philipp Berens , Dominik Papies
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