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Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) prediction is an important area of research in machine learning which aims at explaining and estimating the causal impact of an action at the granular level. It represents a problem of growing interest in…

In this tech report we discuss the evaluation problem of contextual uplift modeling from the causal inference point of view. More particularly, we instantiate the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation, and its evaluation counterpart.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-03 Christophe Renaudin , Matthieu Martin

Uplift modeling is a collection of machine learning techniques for estimating causal effects of a treatment at the individual or subgroup levels. Over the last years, causality and uplift modeling have become key trends in personalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença , Anastasiia Kornilova , Javier Albert , Dmitri Goldenberg

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

Churn prediction, or the task of identifying customers who are likely to discontinue use of a service, is an important and lucrative concern of firms in many different industries. As these firms collect an increasing amount of large-scale,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-22 Muhammad R. Khan , Johua Manoj , Anikate Singh , Joshua Blumenstock

Uplift modeling is widely used in performance marketing to estimate effects of promotion campaigns (e.g., increase of customer retention rate). Since it is impossible to observe outcomes of a recipient in treatment (e.g., receiving a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Yao Zhao , Haipeng Zhang , Shiwei Lyu , Ruiying Jiang , Jinjie Gu , Guannan Zhang

Customer churn is a major problem and one of the most important concerns for large companies. Due to the direct effect on the revenues of the companies, especially in the telecom field, companies are seeking to develop means to predict…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-04-04 Abdelrahim Kasem Ahmad , Assef Jafar , Kadan Aljoumaa

Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-27 Zhenyu Zhao , Totte Harinen

In personalized marketing, uplift models estimate incremental effects by modeling how customer behavior changes under alternative treatments. However, real-world data often exhibit biases - such as selection bias, spillover effects, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yuxuan Yang , Dugang Liu , Yiyan Huang

Uplift modeling, vital in online marketing, seeks to accurately measure the impact of various strategies, such as coupons or discounts, on different users by predicting the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE). In an e-commerce setting, user…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-26 Yinqiu Huang , Shuli Wang , Min Gao , Xue Wei , Changhao Li , Chuan Luo , Yinhua Zhu , Xiong Xiao , Yi Luo

A churn prediction system guides telecom service providers to reduce revenue loss. However, the development of a churn prediction system for a telecom industry is a challenging task, mainly due to the large size of the data, high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Uzair Ahmed , Asifullah Khan , Saddam Hussain Khan , Abdul Basit , Irfan Ul Haq , Yeon Soo Lee

As a key component in online marketing, uplift modeling aims to accurately capture the degree to which different treatments motivate different users, such as coupons or discounts, also known as the estimation of individual treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Dugang Liu , Xing Tang , Han Gao , Fuyuan Lyu , Xiuqiang He

A practical churn customer prediction model is critical to retain customers for telecom companies in the saturated and competitive market. Previous studies focus on predicting churn customers in current or next month, in which telecom…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-11-05 Lingling Yang , Dongyang Li , Yao Lu

Uplift modeling comprises a collection of machine learning techniques designed for managers to predict the incremental impact of specific actions on customer outcomes. However, accurately estimating this incremental impact poses significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Junjie Gao , Xiangyu Zheng , DongDong Wang , Zhixiang Huang , Bangqi Zheng , Kai Yang

Uplift modeling has achieved significant success in various fields, particularly in online marketing. It is a method that primarily utilizes machine learning and deep learning to estimate individual treatment effects. This paper we apply…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

Customer churn, the discontinuation of services by existing customers, poses a significant challenge to the telecommunications industry. This paper proposes a novel adaptive ensemble learning framework for highly accurate customer churn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-30 Mohammed Affan Shaikhsurab , Pramod Magadum

Uplift modeling and Heterogeneous Treatment Effect (HTE) estimation aim at predicting the causal effect of an action, such as a medical treatment or a marketing campaign on a specific individual. In this paper, we focus on data from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Krzysztof Rudaś , Szymon Jaroszewicz

Customer churn prediction in the telecommunications sector represents a critical business intelligence task that has evolved from subjective human assessment to sophisticated algorithmic approaches. In this work, we present a comprehensive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Xuhang Chen , Bo Lv , Mengqian Wang , Xunwen Xiang , Shiting Wu , Shenghong Luo , Wenjun Zhang

Uplift modeling has been used effectively in fields such as marketing and customer retention, to target those customers who are more likely to respond due to the campaign or treatment. Essentially, it is a machine learning technique that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Kun Li , Liangshu Zhu

Randomized experiments have been critical tools of decision making for decades. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in response to treatments in many important applications. Therefore it is not enough to simply know which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-13 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi
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