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For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

Coupled problems with various combinations of multiple physics, scales, and domains can be found in numerous areas of science and engineering. A key challenge in the formulation and implementation of corresponding coupled models is to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2012-07-05 Maarten Arnst , Roger Ghanem , Eric Phipps , John Red-Horse

Probabilistic values, including Shapley values and semivalues, provide a model-agnostic framework to attribute the behavior of a black-box model to data points or features, with a wide range of applications including explainable artificial…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Ziqi Liu , Kiljae Lee , Yuan Zhang , Weijing Tang

We present a Bayesian tomography framework operating with prior-knowledge-based parametrization that is accelerated by surrogate models. Standard high-fidelity forward solvers solve wave equations with natural spatial parametrizations based…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-06-29 Giovanni Angelo Meles , Niklas Linde , Stefano Marelli

Prediction rule ensembles (PRE) provide interpretable prediction models with relatively high accuracy.PRE obtain a large set of decision rules from a (boosted) decision tree ensemble, and achieves sparsitythrough application of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-29 Benny Markovitch , Marjolein Fokkema

Recent advancements in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and surrogate modelling have significantly enhanced the feasibility of Bayesian analysis across engineering fields. However, the selection and integration of surrogate models…

We present a scalable framework for learning deterministic and probabilistic neural surrogates for high-resolution 3D physics simulations. We introduce a hybrid CNN-Transformer backbone architecture targeted for 3D physics simulations,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Benjamin Holzschuh , Georg Kohl , Florian Redinger , Nils Thuerey

The development of a reliable and robust surrogate model is often constrained by the dimensionality of the problem. For a system with high-dimensional inputs/outputs (I/O), conventional approaches usually use a low-dimensional manifold to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-01 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

Solving complex problems requires continuous effort in developing theory and practice to cope with larger, more difficult scenarios. Working with surrogates is normal for creating a proxy that realistically models the problem into the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Tomohiro Harada , Enrique Alba , Gabriel Luque

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

In an ever-increasing interest for Machine Learning (ML) and a favorable data development context, we here propose an original methodology for data-based prediction of two-dimensional physical fields. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE),…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-02-03 Rem-Sophia Mouradi , Cédric Goeury , Olivier Thual , Fabrice Zaoui , Pablo Tassi

This paper presents a probabilistic surrogate model for the accelerated design of electric vehicle battery enclosures with a focus on crash performance. The study integrates high-throughput finite element simulations and Gaussian Process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-08 Shadab Anwar Shaikh , Harish Cherukuri , Kranthi Balusu , Ram Devanathan , Ayoub Soulami

The increasing uncertainty level caused by growing renewable energy sources (RES) and aging transmission networks poses a great challenge in the assessment of total transfer capability (TTC) and available transfer capability (ATC). In this…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-29 Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang , Hao Sheng , Xi Lin

Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Julen Cestero , Marco Quartulli , Marcello Restelli

Gaussian process regression is widely applied in computational science and engineering for surrogate modeling owning to its kernel-based and probabilistic nature. In this work, we propose a Bayesian approach that integrates the variability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Dongwei Ye , Weihao Yan , Christoph Brune , Mengwu Guo

The quantification of uncertainties of computer simulations due to input parameter uncertainties is paramount to assess a model's credibility. For computationally expensive simulations, this is often feasible only via surrogate models that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Sascha Ranftl , Wolfgang von der Linden

Designing materials with controlled heat flow at the nano-scale is central to advances in microelectronics, thermoelectrics, and energy-conversion technologies. At these scales, phonon transport follows the Boltzmann Transport Equation…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Antonio Varagnolo , Giuseppe Romano , Raphaël Pestourie

Stochastic simulators are non-deterministic computer models which provide a different response each time they are run, even when the input parameters are held at fixed values. They arise when additional sources of uncertainty are affecting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-01 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Performing reliability analysis on complex systems is often computationally expensive. In particular, when dealing with systems having high input dimensionality, reliability estimation becomes a daunting task. A popular approach to overcome…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Navaneeth N. , Souvik Chakraborty