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Face-to-face social contacts are potentially important transmission routes for acute respiratory infections, and understanding the contact network can improve our ability to predict, contain, and control epidemics. Although workplaces are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-02 Gail E. Potter , Timo Smieszek , Kerstin Sailer

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects is an important problem across many domains. In order to accurately estimate such treatment effects, one typically relies on data from observational studies or randomized experiments. Currently,…

Recent advances in causal inference techniques, more specifically, in the theory of structural causal models, provide the framework for identification of causal effects from observational data in the cases where the causal graph is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Md Osman Gani , Shravan Kethireddy , Marvi Bikak , Paul Griffin , Mohammad Adibuzzaman

Causal mediation analysis can improve understanding of the mechanisms underlying epidemiologic associations. However, the utility of natural direct and indirect effect estimation has been limited by the assumption of no confounder of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Kara E. Rudolph , Oleg Sofrygin , Wenjing Zheng , Mark J. van der Laan

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

We study identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment variable on a long-term outcome using data from an observational and an experimental domain. The observational data are subject to unobserved confounding. Furthermore,…

Treatment effect estimation is a fundamental problem in causal inference. We focus on designing efficient randomized controlled trials, to accurately estimate the effect of some treatment on a population of $n$ individuals. In particular,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Raghavendra Addanki , David Arbour , Tung Mai , Cameron Musco , Anup Rao

It has recently become popular to define treatment effects for subsets of the target population characterized by variables not observable at the time a treatment decision is made. Characterizing and estimating such treatment effects is…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-30 Marshall M. Joffe , Dylan Small , Chi-Yuan Hsu

Estimating individual treatment effects (ITE) from observational data is a critical task across various domains. However, many existing works on ITE estimation overlook the influence of hidden confounders, which remain unobserved at the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Binbin Hu , Zhicheng An , Zhengwei Wu , Ke Tu , Ziqi Liu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou , Yufei Feng , Jiawei Chen

Background/aims: While randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects, robust conclusions about causal relationships can be obtained using data from observational studies if proper statistical techniques are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-10 Andreas Markoulidakis , Peter Holmans , Philip Pallmann , Monica Busse , Beth-Ann Griffin

Bipartite experiments arise in various fields, in which the treatments are randomized over one set of units, while the outcomes are measured over another separate set of units. However, existing methods often rely on strong model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Sizhu Lu , Lei Shi , Yue Fang , Wenxin Zhang , Peng Ding

Many applications of causal analysis call for assessing, retrospectively, the effect of withholding an action that has in fact been implemented. This counterfactual quantity, sometimes called "effect of treatment on the treated," (ETT) have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-14 Ilya Shpitser , Judea Pearl

We consider the estimation of joint causal effects from observational data. In particular, we propose new methods to estimate the effect of multiple simultaneous interventions (e.g., multiple gene knockouts), under the assumption that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-11 Preetam Nandy , Marloes H. Maathuis , Thomas S. Richardson

Causal effect estimation seeks to determine the impact of an intervention from observational data. However, the existing causal inference literature primarily addresses treatment effects on frequently occurring events. But what if we are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Jiyuan Tan , Jose Blanchet , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We propose Causal Interaction Trees for identifying subgroups of participants that have enhanced treatment effects using observational data. We extend the Classification and Regression Tree algorithm by using splitting criteria that focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Jiabei Yang , Issa J. Dahabreh , Jon A. Steingrimsson

Interventional effects have been proposed as a solution to the unidentifiability of natural (in)direct effects under mediator-outcome confounders affected by the exposure. Such confounders are an intrinsic characteristic of studies with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-30 Iván Díaz , Nicholas Williams , Kara E. Rudolph

In this paper, we provide efficient estimators and honest confidence bands for a variety of treatment effects including local average (LATE) and local quantile treatment effects (LQTE) in data-rich environments. We can handle very many…

This paper studies identification and estimation of average causal effects, such as average marginal or treatment effects, in fixed effects logit models with short panels. Relating the identified set of these effects to an extremal moment…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-20 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Louise Laage

This paper investigates the case of interference, when a unit's treatment also affects other units' outcome. When interference is at work, policy evaluation mostly relies on the use of randomized experiments under cluster interference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Laura Forastiere , Davide Del Prete , Valerio Leone Sciabolazza