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We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz

We present a theory-guided generalized Bayesian methodology for spatio-temporal raster data, which we use to train an ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks with Gaussian-distributed weights. The methodology incorporates the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Leonardo Bardi , Imma Valentina Curato , Lorenzo Proietti

Deep neural network models owe their representational power to the high number of learnable parameters. It is often infeasible to run these largely parametrized deep models in limited resource environments, like mobile phones. Network…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-27 Ufuk Can Biçici , Cem Keskin , Lale Akarun

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) treat neural network weights as random variables, which aim to provide posterior uncertainty estimates and avoid overfitting by performing inference on the posterior weights. However, the selection of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Tsai Hor Chan , Dora Yan Zhang , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

We hypothesize that anatomical priors can be viable mediums to infuse domain-specific clinical knowledge into state-of-the-art convolutional neural networks (CNN) based on the U-Net architecture. We introduce a probabilistic population…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-22 Anindo Saha , Matin Hosseinzadeh , Henkjan Huisman

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

Estimating individualized treatment effects from longitudinal observational data is central to data-driven medicine, yet existing methods face a fundamental limitation: reducing confounding bias often suppresses clinically informative…

Bayesian inference for inverse problems hinges critically on the choice of priors. In the absence of specific prior information, population-level distributions can serve as effective priors for parameters of interest. With the advent of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-02-11 Gabriel Missael Barco , Alexandre Adam , Connor Stone , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

The integration of medical imaging and clinical text has enabled the emergence of generalist artificial intelligence (AI) systems for healthcare. However, pervasive biases, such as imbalanced disease prevalence, skewed anatomical region…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Cheng Li , Weijian Huang , Jiarun Liu , Hao Yang , Qi Yang , Song Wu , Ye Li , Hairong Zheng , Shanshan Wang

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

A method to predict time-series using multiple deep learners and a Bayesian network is proposed. In this study, the input explanatory variables are Bayesian network nodes that are associated with learners. Training data are divided using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Shusuke Kobayashi , Susumu Shirayama

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

Algorithmic image-based diagnosis and prognosis of neurodegenerative diseases on longitudinal data has drawn great interest from computer vision researchers. The current state-of-the-art models for many image classification tasks are based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-09-04 Jie Zhang , Qingyang Li , Richard J. Caselli , Jieping Ye , Yalin Wang

We investigate the use of normalizing flow (NF) models as flexible priors in Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for iterative Bayesian calibration. Trained on posteriors from previous analyses, these models can…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

Predictive uncertainty quantification is crucial for reliable decision-making in various applied domains. Bayesian neural networks offer a powerful framework for this task. However, defining meaningful priors and ensuring computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Yijia Liu , Xiao Wang

We evaluate two different methods for the integration of prediction uncertainty into diagnostic image classifiers to increase patient safety in deep learning. In the first method, Monte Carlo sampling is applied with dropout at test time to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-05 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Tobias Ortmaier

In critical decision support systems based on medical imaging, the reliability of AI-assisted decision-making is as relevant as predictive accuracy. Although deep learning models have demonstrated significant accuracy, they frequently…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Hua Xu , Julián D. Arias-Londoño , Juan I. Godino-Llorente